Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Heerenveen v FC Zwolle

Início: 2026-08-22 19:00 UTC

Final: Heerenveen 0–2 FC Zwolle

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Heerenveen (Local)

Previsão 60.20%1.66odd justa
EV -3.68%
Vantagem -2.30%
Kelly -6.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.77%60.20%60.20%61.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.551.551.6067.57%64.49%64.52%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Zwolle (Visitante)

Previsão 18.91%5.29odd justa
EV -0.706%
Vantagem -0.135%
Kelly -0.166%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.78%18.96%18.90%20.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.894.935.2522.73%20.46%20.30%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.88%4.79odd justa
EV -0.797%
Vantagem -0.168%
Kelly -0.212%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.87%20.84%20.90%21.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.444.504.7523.81%22.52%22.22%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Heerenveen (Local): 60.20%; FC Zwolle (Visitante): 18.91%; Empate: 20.88%. Para FC Zwolle (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.29. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.25, com valor esperado de -0.706%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.68%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.67%EV -1.65%E -0.318%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 15:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.45%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -3.54%E -0.695%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 15:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.45%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -3.54%E -0.695%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 15:04
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.08%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.70%EV -2.79%E -0.542%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -5.39%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 15:15
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 12:44
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.67%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.80%EV -2.98%E -0.580%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.37%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.656%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 04:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.37%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.656%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 04:19
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.37%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.656%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 04:19
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.14%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -6.38%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -3.93%E -0.854%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.14%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -6.38%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -3.93%E -0.854%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 12:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.75%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -7.33%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 12:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -0.797%E -0.168%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 13:30
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.36%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.58%EV -3.54%E -0.695%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 11:14
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -0.706%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 11:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.01%EV -6.38%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.68%EV -4.97%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 15:04
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 15:04
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 15:04
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.28%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -10.16%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -9.15%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 15:04
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.16%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.81%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -8.27%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 14:59
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.77%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.24%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.93%E -0.854%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -6.38%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.06%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 15:03
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.16%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.89%E -3.31%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 12:49
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.92%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -11.24%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.92%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -11.24%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.706%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.706%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 19:04
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-20 10:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 15:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -16.78%E -3.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -10.19%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 12:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -9.09%E -6.02%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -9.15%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.25%EV -9.09%E -6.02%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 15:04
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -9.70%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.54%E -0.695%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -3.93%E -0.854%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 19:03
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -9.70%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.16%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-20 10:58
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -9.70%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -14.89%E -3.31%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 10:45
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -9.70%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-20 10:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -10.90%E -7.37%K -22.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 15:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-08-22 15:05
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-22 15:10
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-22 15:15