Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Heerenveen (Local): 60.20%; FC Zwolle (Visitante): 18.91%; Empate: 20.88%. Para FC Zwolle (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.29. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 5.25, con un valor esperado de -0.706%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.68%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.67%EV -1.65%E -0.318%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.66%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.45%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -3.54%E -0.695%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.45%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.97%EV -3.54%E -0.695%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.08%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.70%EV -2.79%E -0.542%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -5.39%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 12:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.67%EV -4.28%E -2.69%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.80%EV -2.98%E -0.580%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.37%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.656%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 04:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.37%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.656%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 04:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.37%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.656%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.96%EV -4.97%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 04:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.14%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -6.38%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -3.93%E -0.854%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.14%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.20%EV -6.38%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -3.93%E -0.854%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.75%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -7.33%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -0.797%E -0.168%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.36%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.58%EV -3.54%E -0.695%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 12:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 12:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -0.706%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.01%EV -6.38%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.68%EV -4.97%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.54%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.28%EV -6.08%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -10.16%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -9.15%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 15:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.16%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.81%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -8.27%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.77%EV -6.69%E -4.31%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -11.24%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.93%E -0.854%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.77%EV -6.38%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.06%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 15:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.16%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 13:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.89%E -3.31%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.92%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -11.24%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.92%EV -7.29%E -4.73%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -11.24%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.706%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.706%E -0.135%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.11%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 15:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 19:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-20 10:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.43%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -1.84%E -0.392%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -16.78%E -3.81%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -10.19%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.18%EV -9.09%E -6.02%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -9.15%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.25%EV -9.09%E -6.02%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -9.70%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.54%E -0.695%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -3.93%E -0.854%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 19:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -9.70%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.16%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.02%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 10:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -9.70%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -14.89%E -3.31%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -9.57%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 10:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -9.70%E -6.46%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.00%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-20 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -10.90%E -7.37%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.28%E -2.92%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 15:14 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.62% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |