The School of Odds

Heerenveen v FC Twente Enschede

2026-08-09 14:45 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

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Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Heerenveen (Local)

Prediction 31.26%3.20fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%31.42%31.17%32.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.922.973.0638%34%34%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Twente Enschede (Visit)

Prediction 44.20%2.26fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.25%44.17%44.22%44.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.902.082.102.1853%48%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.54%4.07fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.457%
Kelly -0.609%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%24.41%24.62%25.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.0029%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.34%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.00%EV -3.65%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.66%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 09:24
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 15:35
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 15:35
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 08:55
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 08:54
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 15:20
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 11:30
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:40
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 16:29
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.37%EV -7.63%E -3.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:05
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -8.07%E -3.88%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 14:30
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -7.16%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.23%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 09:24
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.83%E -0.457%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 21:19
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 13:34
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 13:58
betano_uk2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 08:38
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.83%E -0.457%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 13:34
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.83%E -0.457%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 13:33
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.09%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.09%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.09%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 14:20
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.01%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -10.72%E -5.31%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -14.10%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-22 06:25
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.52%EV -12.93%E -6.56%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 14:45
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 13:34
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.00%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.84%EV -12.49%E -6.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.16%EV -15.33%E -4.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-25 14:45
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -14.04%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -13.82%E -7.09%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-05 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -14.04%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.05%EV -12.49%E -6.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.23%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-05 14:50
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -15.60%E -5.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -11.61%E -5.80%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -14.10%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-10 13:34
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.10%EV -15.60%E -5.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.20%EV -16.03%E -8.43%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.70%EV -16.55%E -4.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-11 11:49
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.76%EV -17.16%E -6.48%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 43.84%EV -15.14%E -7.89%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.40%EV -15.33%E -4.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-05 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 31.19%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%16.1%2026-07-05 12:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-21 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-21 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-21 13:40