Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.46
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Heerenveen (Local): 29.82%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 45.48%; Draw: 24.70%. For Heerenveen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.17%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.09%EV +3.17%E +0.916%K +1.29%G +0.041% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -6.30%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.73%EV -2.94%E -0.747%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV +2.87%E +0.832%K +1.17%G +0.034% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.27%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV +2.87%E +0.832%K +1.17%G +0.034% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV +2.87%E +0.832%K +1.17%G +0.034% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV +2.87%E +0.832%K +1.17%G +0.034% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%EV -0.111%E -0.033%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.33%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.44%E -0.619%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%EV -0.111%E -0.033%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.33%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.44%E -0.619%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%EV -0.111%E -0.033%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.33%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.44%E -0.619%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -1.90%E -0.578%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.26%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.49%EV -2.94%E -0.747%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -3.09%E -0.952%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.57%E -1.69%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -3.09%E -0.952%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.57%E -1.69%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -3.09%E -0.952%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.09%E -0.952%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.96%EV -6.30%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.09%E -0.952%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -8.12%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 14:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 14:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.63%EV -5.85%E -2.82%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.84%EV -7.21%E -3.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.84%EV -7.21%E -3.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.84%EV -7.21%E -3.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -8.12%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 14:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -6.37%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.25%EV -6.30%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -8.12%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 14:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 14:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.51%EV -8.16%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.04%EV -10.35%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 14:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -8.12%E -4.02%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.44%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.44%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -9.06%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -10.85%E -5.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -4.48%E -2.13%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -9.94%E -5.02%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.43%EV -11.76%E -6.06%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -10.85%E -5.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -13.53%E -4.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -13.12%E -6.87%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-09 14:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.53% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36% | 0.1% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
No published comments yet.