La escuela de los momios

Heerenveen v FC Twente Enschede

2026-08-09 14:45 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Heerenveen (Local)

Predicción 31.26%3.20momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%31.42%31.17%32.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.922.973.0637.74%34.23%33.67%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Twente Enschede (Visitante)

Predicción 44.20%2.26momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.25%44.17%44.22%44.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.082.102.1852.63%48.04%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.54%4.07momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.457%
Kelly -0.609%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.33%24.41%24.62%25.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.754.0029.41%26.83%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.34%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.00%EV -3.65%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.66%EV -4.53%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 09:24
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:14
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.66%E -1.53%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.67%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -9.19%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 03:14
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 08:55
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 08:54
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 15:20
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 11:30
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 14:40
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 16:29
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.37%EV -7.63%E -3.65%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:05
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.22%E -2.07%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -8.07%E -3.88%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 14:30
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -7.16%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.23%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 09:24
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.83%E -0.457%K -0.609%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 21:19
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -7.78%E -2.64%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 13:34
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 13:58
betano_uk2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -4.98%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 08:38
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -6.30%E -2.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.83%E -0.457%K -0.609%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 13:34
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.35%E -3.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.19%E -3.42%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.83%E -0.457%K -0.609%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 13:33
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.09%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.09%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.09%EV -9.97%E -3.46%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-06 14:20
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.01%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -10.72%E -5.31%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -14.10%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-22 06:25
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.91%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.52%EV -12.93%E -6.56%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -12.87%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 14:45
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.40%E -4.58%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.74%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-10 13:34
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.00%EV -12.47%E -4.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.84%EV -12.49%E -6.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.16%EV -15.33%E -4.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-25 14:45
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -14.04%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -13.82%E -7.09%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -7.96%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-05 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -14.04%E -5.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.05%EV -12.49%E -6.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.23%EV -11.64%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-05 14:50
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -15.60%E -5.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -11.61%E -5.80%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -14.10%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-10 13:34
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.10%EV -15.60%E -5.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.20%EV -16.03%E -8.43%K -17.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.70%EV -16.55%E -4.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-11 11:49
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.76%EV -17.16%E -6.48%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 43.84%EV -15.14%E -7.89%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.40%EV -15.33%E -4.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-05 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 31.19%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%16.1%2026-07-05 12:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-21 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-21 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-21 13:40