L’École des cotes

Heerenveen v Ajax

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Score final : Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Heerenveen (Local)

Prévision 31.14%3.21cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.603%
Kelly -0.884%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.17%31.23%31.09%32.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.903.1536.36%33.95%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ajax (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.56%2.20cote équitable
EV -0.685%
Avantage -0.314%
Kelly -0.581%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.62%45.42%45.60%46.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.052.052.1852.36%48.68%48.78%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.30%4.29cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.510%
Kelly -0.669%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.40%23.35%23.31%25.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.943.954.2030.30%25.39%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.50%EV -1.90%E -0.603%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.32%EV -4.00%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.64%EV -3.46%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.00%EV -0.685%E -0.314%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -2.14%E -0.510%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-16 23:25
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.64%EV -3.46%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.00%EV -0.685%E -0.314%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%EV -2.14%E -0.510%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-16 23:25
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -3.46%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.63%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.31%EV -3.77%E -0.913%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 08:16
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.46%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:50
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.46%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:00
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.46%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -7.06%E -3.46%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.49%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%EV -1.60%E -0.739%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%EV -2.14%E -0.510%K -0.669%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-16 23:25
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -3.42%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:00
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.81%EV -3.42%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.92%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 06:46
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 06:40
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 06:45
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 30.72%EV -5.95%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.89%E -4.44%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -5.64%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 06:44
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -2.05%E -0.954%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 02:15
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:19
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -5.64%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:16
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -5.64%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -5.64%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:05
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:05
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.57%E -2.19%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.89%E -4.44%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 08:10
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.32%EV -8.13%E -2.76%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%EV -3.42%E -1.61%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -2.14%E -0.510%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 02:14
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -8.13%E -2.76%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.05%E -0.954%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 02:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -8.13%E -2.76%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.28%EV -10.71%E -5.46%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -2.05%E -0.954%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 02:10
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 02:15
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 02:15
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 23:26
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -4.33%E -2.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 23:25
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.13%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 23:26
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 08:10
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.30%EV -5.24%E -2.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -10.30%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%EV -8.89%E -4.44%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.47%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 06:45
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:10
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -8.89%E -4.44%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 08:05
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -9.69%E -3.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.01%EV -12.07%E -6.26%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 08:16
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -10.31%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 02:15
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.31%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -11.16%E -5.72%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -11.24%E -3.94%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 02:15
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.24%E -3.94%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.15%EV -6.15%E -2.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 23:25
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -11.24%E -3.94%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 19:35
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -11.24%E -3.94%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -6.61%E -3.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 19:35
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -11.24%E -3.94%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.67%EV -9.80%E -4.95%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.80%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 06:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.25%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 23:26
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.25%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 23:25
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.25%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 23:26
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.25%EV -7.97%E -3.95%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.17%EV -12.80%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.23%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.60%EV -23.11%E -7.00%K -10.05%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-17 08:10
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.36%E -5.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.10%EV -8.89%E -4.44%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -13.79%E -3.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 23:25
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.61%EV -14.36%E -5.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.51%EV -12.99%E -6.80%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -11.46%E -3.02%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 08:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-05-17 08:20
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.59%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76%1.0%2026-05-17 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20