Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.12
assuming max odds 2.35
assuming max odds 3.99
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Groningen (Local): 32.67%; AZ Alkmaar (Visit): 41.97%; Draw: 25.36%. For Groningen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.06%EV +1.93%E +0.619%K +0.911%G +0.018% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.66%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +1.18%E +0.297%K +0.396%G +0.005% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 15:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -1.34%E -0.442%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.43%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV -3.89%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%EV -1.99%E -0.663%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.05%EV -3.05%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%EV -1.99%E -0.663%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.05%EV -3.05%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.99%E -0.663%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 15:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.62%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.62%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.28%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.28%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.28%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -8.20%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -6.89%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.89%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.89%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.89%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.08%EV -1.37%E -0.583%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV +0.170%E +0.043%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.08%EV -1.37%E -0.583%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV +0.170%E +0.043%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.08%EV -1.37%E -0.583%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV +0.170%E +0.043%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.60%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.01%EV -2.63%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -1.10%E -0.282%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.47%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.10%E -0.282%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 15:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -9.21%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 15:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 15:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 15:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 15:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-22 15:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -13.96%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -21.39%E -6.90%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.77%E -4.78%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.96%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.65%EV -13.42%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.18%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.52%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.27%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.52%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.27%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -15.06%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.38%EV -15.06%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.10%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -16.31%E -4.94%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-03-22 15:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 15:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03% | 2.5% | 2026-03-22 15:40 |