La escuela de los momios

Groningen v AZ Alkmaar

Inicio: 2026-03-22 15:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Groningen (Local)

Predicción 32.67%3.06momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.619%
Kelly +0.911%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.05%32.73%32.58%34.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.822.853.1238.46%35.46%35.09%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AZ Alkmaar (Visitante)

Predicción 41.97%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.583%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.88%41.96%41.98%44.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.252.3550.00%45.08%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.36%3.94momio equitativo
EV +1.18%
Ventaja +0.297%
Kelly +0.396%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.17%25.31%25.45%27.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.693.703.9932.26%27.07%27.03%25.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 31.06%EV +1.93%E +0.619%K +0.911%G +0.018%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.66%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +1.18%E +0.297%K +0.396%G +0.005%3.2%2026-03-22 15:34
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -1.34%E -0.442%K -0.661%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.43%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV -3.89%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 15:30
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%EV -1.99%E -0.663%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.05%EV -3.05%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 15:20
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%EV -1.99%E -0.663%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.05%EV -3.05%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 15:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.99%E -0.663%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:28
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.62%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 15:19
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.62%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 15:19
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.28%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 15:30
BetUS2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.28%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 15:30
BetAnything2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.28%E -1.46%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 15:29
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 15:19
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 15:20
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:19
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.83%E -3.07%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -8.20%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:30
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:19
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 15:19
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 15:19
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:39
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:39
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -5.91%E -2.05%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:40
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -6.24%E -2.17%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:20
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -6.89%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.89%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 15:20
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.89%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:20
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.89%E -2.42%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 14:54
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.08%EV -1.37%E -0.583%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV +0.170%E +0.043%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 15:05
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.08%EV -1.37%E -0.583%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV +0.170%E +0.043%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 15:30
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.08%EV -1.37%E -0.583%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV +0.170%E +0.043%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 15:30
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 15:20
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:39
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:39
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.52%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.60%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.01%EV -2.63%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -1.10%E -0.282%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 15:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.47%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.10%E -0.282%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:05
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -9.21%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:18
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.16%E -3.69%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 15:20
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:04
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:04
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:04
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -2.37%E -0.615%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 15:30
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 15:05
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 15:04
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 15:20
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 15:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -13.96%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -21.39%E -6.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-22 15:30
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.77%E -4.78%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.96%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.65%EV -13.42%E -5.07%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.18%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:05
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.52%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.27%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.52%EV -14.08%E -5.35%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.27%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 15:04
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -15.06%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 15:20
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.38%EV -15.06%E -5.79%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.10%EV -16.06%E -8.03%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -16.31%E -4.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%18.8%2026-03-22 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-03-22 15:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-03-22 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-03-22 15:40
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-03-22 15:40
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-22 15:30
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%2.5%2026-03-22 15:40