L’École des cotes

Go Ahead Eagles v AZ Alkmaar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 16:45 UTC

Score final : Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ Alkmaar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Prévision 43.85%2.28cote équitable
EV -0.030%
Avantage -0.013%
Kelly -0.023%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.40%43.72%43.88%44.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.60%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.83%3.14cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -0.957%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.07%31.84%31.83%33.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.923.0537.04%34.28%34.25%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.32%4.11cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.735%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.45%24.44%24.29%26.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.763.804.0230.77%26.62%26.32%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.74%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -2.92%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 16:25
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.60%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%EV -2.92%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.60%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%EV -2.92%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 16:24
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.51%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19%EV -7.06%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -2.95%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 16:35
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -1.78%E -0.796%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -5.15%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:29
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -1.78%E -0.796%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -5.15%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.40%EV -2.22%E -0.996%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:24
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.99%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.07%EV -2.22%E -0.552%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 16:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:24
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.92%E -0.993%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:39
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.92%E -0.993%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:39
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:39
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:25
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:25
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -4.85%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:38
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:24
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:29
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:40
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:39
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:35
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:40
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:24
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.07%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:29
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.74%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:39
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.49%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.65%E -3.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.49%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.65%E -3.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.49%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.65%E -3.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:24
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:24
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:34
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -10.88%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:29
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.88%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -10.99%E -5.41%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.07%EV -6.74%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.08%EV -8.06%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:24
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.21%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -12.47%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 16:24
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.91%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -11.83%E -4.27%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -14.06%E -5.21%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -20.95%E -6.45%K -9.31%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-23 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.30%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-04-23 16:25