La escuela de los momios

Go Ahead Eagles v AZ Alkmaar

Inicio: 2026-04-23 16:45 UTC

Final: Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ Alkmaar

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Predicción 43.85%2.28momio equitativo
EV -0.030%
Ventaja -0.013%
Kelly -0.023%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.40%43.72%43.88%44.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.60%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AZ Alkmaar (Visitante)

Predicción 31.83%3.14momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -0.957%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.07%31.84%31.83%33.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.923.0537.04%34.28%34.25%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.32%4.11momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.735%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.45%24.44%24.29%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.763.804.0230.77%26.62%26.32%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.74%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -2.92%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 16:25
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.60%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%EV -2.92%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.60%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%EV -2.92%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 16:24
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.51%EV -0.030%E -0.013%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19%EV -7.06%E -2.42%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV -2.95%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 16:35
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -1.78%E -0.796%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -5.15%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:29
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -1.78%E -0.796%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -5.15%E -1.73%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.40%EV -2.22%E -0.996%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.05%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:24
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.99%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -3.56%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.07%EV -2.22%E -0.552%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 16:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:24
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -3.54%E -1.61%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:40
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.92%E -0.993%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:39
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.65%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.92%E -0.993%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:39
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:39
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:25
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57%EV -4.41%E -2.03%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:25
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -4.85%E -2.24%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 16:38
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:24
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:29
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:40
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:39
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.10%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:35
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:40
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:24
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -5.73%E -2.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.07%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:29
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.74%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:39
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.49%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.65%E -3.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.49%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.65%E -3.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.49%EV -6.17%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -13.65%E -3.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.53%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:24
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.51%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:24
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:30
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:34
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.33%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -9.29%E -3.26%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -7.69%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -10.88%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:29
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.88%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -10.99%E -5.41%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.07%EV -6.74%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.08%EV -8.06%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:24
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.97%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -14.06%E -5.21%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.95%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%EV -12.47%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 16:24
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.91%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -11.83%E -4.27%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -12.31%E -6.15%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -14.06%E -5.21%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -20.95%E -6.45%K -9.31%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-23 16:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-23 16:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-04-23 16:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.30%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-04-23 16:25