Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.70
assuming max odds 5.06
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Go Ahead Eagles (Local): 56.24%; ADO Den Haag (Visit): 20.99%; Draw: 22.77%. For ADO Den Haag (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.18%EV +6.20%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.095% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -5.50%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.53%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV +2.85%E +0.581%K +0.730%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.53%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV +2.85%E +0.581%K +0.730%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.53%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV +2.85%E +0.581%K +0.730%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV +0.747%E +0.156%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV +0.747%E +0.156%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.00%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -0.303%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.76%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -2.40%E -0.516%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.49%EV -2.31%E -0.539%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.45%E -0.750%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.45%E -0.750%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.45%E -0.750%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.45%E -0.750%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.88%EV -4.50%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.90%EV -5.50%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.24%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 07:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.08%E -0.484%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 08:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -5.50%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 08:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.08%E -0.484%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.20%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.78%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.20%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.78%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.25%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.24%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 09:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 09:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.58%EV -11.14%E -7.05%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -9.75%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.05%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 09:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.80%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -10.80%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.47%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -16.04%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 09:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.04%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -14.61%E -3.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.89% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 08:50 |