Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Go Ahead Eagles v ADO Den Haag

2026-08-23 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Prediction 59.52%1.68fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.96%59.53%59.29%60.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.22%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ADO Den Haag (Visit)

Prediction 18.66%5.36fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.478%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%18.63%18.90%20.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.935.005.2522.73%20.28%20.00%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.82%4.58fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.25%21.84%21.81%22.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.224.254.5025.97%23.67%23.56%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Go Ahead Eagles (Local): 59.52%; ADO Den Haag (Visit): 18.66%; Draw: 21.82%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.50, with an expected value of -1.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.20%EV -3.57%E -2.21%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.44%EV -2.96%E -0.570%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.36%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 18:04
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.02%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -8.56%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.10%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.02%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -8.56%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.10%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.76%E -2.98%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.70%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:04
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.03%E -0.387%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25%EV -1.83%E -0.406%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.70%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.55%EV -5.95%E -3.77%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -8.56%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -10.55%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -8.33%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.03%E -0.387%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:14
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.33%E -5.41%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.96%E -0.570%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.01%E -0.911%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:14
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.93%E -5.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.70%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.96%EV -9.53%E -6.27%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.89%E -4.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -12.73%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.00%EV -10.12%E -6.70%K -19.84%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.25%EV -15.09%E -3.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -16.01%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.70%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.37%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 18:14
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.72%E -7.14%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -16.03%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -14.92%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-15 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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