Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.06
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Go Ahead Eagles (Local): 56.24%; ADO Den Haag (Visitante): 20.99%; Empate: 22.77%. Para ADO Den Haag (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.76. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.06, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.20%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.18%EV +6.20%E +1.23%K +1.53%G +0.095% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -5.50%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.53%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV +2.85%E +0.581%K +0.730%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.53%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV +2.85%E +0.581%K +0.730%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.53%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.73%EV +2.85%E +0.581%K +0.730%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV +0.747%E +0.156%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV +0.747%E +0.156%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.00%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -0.303%E -0.064%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.76%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -2.40%E -0.516%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.49%EV -2.31%E -0.539%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.45%E -0.750%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.45%E -0.750%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.45%E -0.750%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -3.45%E -0.750%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.88%EV -4.50%E -0.989%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.90%EV -5.50%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.24%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 07:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.08%E -0.484%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 08:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -5.50%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 09:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.98%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.23%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 08:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.08%E -0.484%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -5.55%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.20%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.78%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.20%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.78%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.25%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -6.60%E -1.48%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -9.45%E -5.87%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -7.65%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.24%EV -10.02%E -6.26%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -8.70%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 09:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 09:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.13%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.12%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.58%EV -11.14%E -7.05%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -9.75%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -10.05%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 09:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.80%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.22%E -0.758%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -8.33%E -5.11%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -10.80%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -6.64%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 08:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.85%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.47%E -3.54%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -16.04%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 09:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -8.89%E -5.49%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.04%E -4.01%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -14.61%E -3.90%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.89% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.43% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 08:50 |