Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fortuna Sittard v FC Twente Enschede

2026-10-10 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fortuna Sittard (Local)

Prediction 14.48%6.90fair odd
EV +5.00%
Edge +0.689%
Kelly +0.800%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.14%14.54%14.38%16.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.286.337.2518.18%15.92%15.81%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Twente Enschede (Visit)

Prediction 67.19%1.49fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -9.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.21%67.14%67.19%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.381.381.4376.34%72.20%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.33%5.46fair odd
EV +0.788%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.32%18.31%18.43%19.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.985.005.5022.22%20.09%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fortuna Sittard (Local): 14.48%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 67.19%; Draw: 18.33%. For Fortuna Sittard (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.90. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.25, producing a positive expected value of +5.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV +5.00%E +0.689%K +0.800%G +0.040%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.54%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV +0.788%E +0.143%K +0.175%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-21 10:19
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.38%E +0.197%K +0.229%G +0.003%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.79%E -0.722%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 08:14
1xBet🎯6.88I 14.53%NM 13.94%EV -0.361%E -0.053%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.52%EV -4.59%E -3.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.54%EV -5.26%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 08:54
Marathon Bet🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 13.99%EV -3.69%E -0.555%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.41%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 08:49
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.12%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -2.88%E -0.543%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.12%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -2.88%E -0.543%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.12%EV -3.91%E -2.74%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV -2.88%E -0.543%K -0.669%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 10:04
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.96%EV -5.26%E -3.73%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -6.54%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 10:04
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 10:04
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 10:04
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.79%E -0.722%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -2.88%E -0.543%K -0.669%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-21 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.86%E -0.902%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -7.95%E -5.80%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-21 07:49
Pinnacle🎯6.49I 15.41%NM 14.57%EV -6.01%E -0.926%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.55%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.88%EV -3.06%E -0.578%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 08:29
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -7.31%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 07:49
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.24%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -3.79%E -0.722%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 10:06
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -9.49%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.24%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -10.21%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.96%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 10:04
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.96%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 10:04
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.96%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.96%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 10:04
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.66%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -7.27%E -5.27%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -12.96%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 10:04
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -13.11%E -2.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.04%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 09:15
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -13.11%E -2.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.04%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -13.11%E -2.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.04%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -13.11%E -2.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.93%E -4.24%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.04%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -13.11%E -2.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.96%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -13.87%E -2.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 10:04
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.11%EV -17.45%E -3.06%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.75%EV -11.98%E -9.14%K -38.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -17.54%E -3.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-21 07:49
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -18.90%E -3.37%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.02%EV -10.63%E -8.00%K -32.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.04%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-21 07:49
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -20.35%E -3.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -8.62%E -6.34%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -12.96%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-21 08:14
Winamax (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.78%EV -20.35%E -3.70%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.75%EV -11.31%E -8.57%K -35.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.47%EV -13.87%E -2.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-21 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.53%16.3%2026-09-21 07:49