Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 7.00
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 5.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Sittard (Local): 15.66%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 65.35%; Draw: 18.98%. For Fortuna Sittard (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.38. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV +9.65%E +1.38%K +1.61%G +0.155% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -0.346%E -0.066%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +5.74%E +0.850%K +0.998%G +0.057% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.01%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +5.74%E +0.850%K +0.998%G +0.057% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.01%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.46%EV +3.39%E +0.513%K +0.605%G +0.020% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.35%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.46%EV +3.39%E +0.513%K +0.605%G +0.020% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.35%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.46%EV +3.39%E +0.513%K +0.605%G +0.020% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.35%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +1.82%E +0.280%K +0.331%G +0.006% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +1.82%E +0.280%K +0.331%G +0.006% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +1.82%E +0.280%K +0.331%G +0.006% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +1.82%E +0.280%K +0.331%G +0.006% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV +0.255%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.81%EV -13.63%E -3.00%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV +0.255%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -7.85%E -5.57%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV +0.255%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -7.85%E -5.57%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV +0.255%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -7.85%E -5.57%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 17:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.18%EV -0.528%E -0.083%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.55%EV -3.93%E -2.67%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.89%EV -1.78%E -0.284%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.40%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -14.39%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.09%E -0.335%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.17%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.78%EV -2.09%E -0.335%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.98%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -4.44%E -0.729%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.47%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.79%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 17:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -6.54%E -4.58%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.20%E -5.07%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -16.48%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.63%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -10.79%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.63%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -10.79%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.63%EV -9.81%E -7.11%K -25.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -10.79%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.01%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -11.12%E -8.18%K -30.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.22%EV -7.11%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -1.97%E -1.31%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.63%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.23%EV -9.14%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.94%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.14%E -1.58%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.93%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.28%E -2.21%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.93%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.28%E -2.21%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.93%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.28%E -2.21%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -9.93%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.93%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -5.24%E -3.61%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.93%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.93%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.93%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.69%EV -10.71%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.28%EV -10.47%E -7.64%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -10.79%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.84%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.17%EV -10.47%E -7.64%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.84%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -11.12%E -8.18%K -30.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-10 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -13.84%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -11.12%E -8.18%K -30.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -16.98%E -3.20%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.60%EV -7.85%E -5.57%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.44%EV -16.98%E -3.20%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.02%EV -12.43%E -9.27%K -36.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -10.79%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -17.76%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.38%EV -18.54%E -3.57%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.68%E -4.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -8.51%E -6.08%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.84% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.35% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.42% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.42% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-10-10 17:50 |