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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Fortuna Sittard v FC Twente Enschede

2026-10-10 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fortuna Sittard (主队)

预测 14.54%6.88公平赔率
EV +5.39%
优势 +0.744%
Kelly +0.863%
增长率 +0.047%

假设最高赔率为 7.25

博彩公司预测分布
13.14%14.58%14.38%16.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.246.337.2518.18%16.02%15.81%13.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Twente Enschede (客队)

预测 67.14%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -1.83%
Kelly -5.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.03%67.08%67.19%69.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.311.391.401.4576.34%71.76%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.33%5.46公平赔率
EV +0.794%
优势 +0.144%
Kelly +0.176%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.32%18.34%18.43%19.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.934.905.5022.22%20.29%20.41%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Fortuna Sittard (主队)：14.54%；FC Twente Enschede (客队)：67.14%；平局：18.33%。 对于“Fortuna Sittard (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.88。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为7.25，由此产生+5.39%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV +5.39%E +0.744%K +0.863%G +0.047%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.54%EV -8.02%E -5.86%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV +0.794%E +0.144%K +0.176%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-21 10:19
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.76%E +0.251%K +0.293%G +0.005%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.79%E -0.721%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 08:14
1xBet🎯6.88I 14.53%NM 13.94%EV +0.015%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.52%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.54%EV -5.25%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 08:54
Marathon Bet🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 13.99%EV -3.33%E -0.501%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.41%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 08:49
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.51%E -0.848%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.79%E -0.721%K -0.891%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -5.51%E -0.848%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -8.02%E -5.86%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -2.87%E -0.542%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-21 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.51%E -0.848%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -8.02%E -5.86%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-21 07:49
Pinnacle🎯6.49I 15.41%NM 14.57%EV -5.65%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.55%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.88%EV -3.05%E -0.577%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 08:29
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.43%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -4.70%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 13:39
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.43%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -4.70%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 13:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.43%EV -2.65%E -1.83%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -4.70%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 13:39
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.25%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 13:39
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.15%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -10.20%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-21 13:39
Casumo🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.15%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -10.20%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-21 13:39
betPARX🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.15%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -10.20%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-21 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -6.96%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.37%E -1.67%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 07:49
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.24%EV -6.68%E -4.81%K -17.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -3.79%E -0.721%K -0.891%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 10:06
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -9.14%E -1.46%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.68%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -12.95%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-21 13:40
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.03%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 09:15
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.03%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 09:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.03%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.03%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 09:14
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -13.87%E -2.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-21 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -15.70%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -15.70%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 13:39
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -15.70%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 13:39
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -15.70%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -12.78%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -7.35%E -5.33%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.70%E -3.41%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-21 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.11%EV -17.14%E -3.01%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.75%EV -12.05%E -9.20%K -38.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -17.53%E -3.90%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-21 07:49
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -18.59%E -3.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.02%EV -10.71%E -8.05%K -32.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.03%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-21 07:49
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -20.05%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -12.95%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-21 08:14
Winamax (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.78%EV -20.05%E -3.64%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.75%EV -11.38%E -8.62%K -35.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.47%EV -13.87%E -2.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-21 07:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.53%16.3%2026-09-21 07:49