默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fortuna Sittard v AZ Alkmaar

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 14:30 UTC

最终结果: Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fortuna Sittard (主队)

预测 18.59%5.38公平赔率
EV +9.51%
优势 +1.61%
Kelly +1.94%
增长率 +0.185%

假设最高赔率为 5.89

博彩公司预测分布
16.43%18.60%18.71%20.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.115.105.8922.73%19.56%19.61%16.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

AZ Alkmaar (客队)

预测 59.72%1.67公平赔率
EV -3.85%
优势 -2.39%
Kelly -6.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
57.58%59.69%59.63%62.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.551.561.6168.03%64.42%64.10%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.69%4.61公平赔率
EV +3.01%
优势 +0.633%
Kelly +0.802%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 4.75

博彩公司预测分布
20.45%21.71%21.66%23.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.304.304.7525.64%23.25%23.26%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fortuna Sittard (主队):18.59%;AZ Alkmaar (客队):59.72%;平局:21.69%。 对于“Fortuna Sittard (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.38。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.89,对应+9.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯5.89I 16.98%NM 16.43%EV +9.51%E +1.61%K +1.94%G +0.185%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.94%EV -4.37%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.89%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.66%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV +3.01%E +0.633%K +0.802%G +0.024%3.0%2026-08-22 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.68%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +1.92%E +0.409%K +0.520%G +0.010%3.6%2026-08-22 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.68%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +1.92%E +0.409%K +0.520%G +0.010%3.6%2026-08-22 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 13:59
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 13:59
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Pinnacle🎯5.41I 18.48%NM 17.83%EV +0.584%E +0.108%K +0.133%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.68%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.49%EV -2.63%E -0.586%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 14:15
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.74%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.24%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.02%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 14:25
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -10.00%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:25
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.75%EV -0.531%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -10.00%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:24
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -1.46%E -0.276%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 14:00
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -1.46%E -0.276%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:55
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:04
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:05
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:25
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:23
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:54
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:10
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -11.01%E -7.39%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 14:19
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -11.01%E -7.39%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:25
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 13:59
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:55
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:25
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.09%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:20
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -8.90%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:00
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -11.61%E -7.85%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:20
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 13:44
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:55
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:54
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 14:08
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 14:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -13.55%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -9.22%E -6.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:10
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.35%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.22%E -6.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 13:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Matchbook◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-22 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-22 14:20
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%1.9%2026-08-22 14:25
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-08-22 14:15