Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fortuna Sittard v AZ Alkmaar

Inizio: 2026-08-22 14:30 UTC

Finale: Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fortuna Sittard (Casa)

Previsione 18.59%5.38quota equa
EV +9.51%
Vantaggio +1.61%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescita +0.185%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.43%18.60%18.71%20.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.405.115.105.8922.73%19.56%19.61%16.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AZ Alkmaar (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.72%1.67quota equa
EV -3.85%
Vantaggio -2.39%
Kelly -6.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.58%59.69%59.63%62.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.551.561.6168.03%64.42%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.69%4.61quota equa
EV +3.01%
Vantaggio +0.633%
Kelly +0.802%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.45%21.71%21.66%23.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.304.304.7525.64%23.25%23.26%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fortuna Sittard (Casa): 18.59%; AZ Alkmaar (Trasferta): 59.72%; Pareggio: 21.69%. Per Fortuna Sittard (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.38. 14 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.89, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.51%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯5.89I 16.98%NM 16.43%EV +9.51%E +1.61%K +1.94%G +0.185%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.94%EV -4.37%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.89%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.66%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV +3.01%E +0.633%K +0.802%G +0.024%3.0%2026-08-22 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.68%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +1.92%E +0.409%K +0.520%G +0.010%3.6%2026-08-22 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.68%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +1.92%E +0.409%K +0.520%G +0.010%3.6%2026-08-22 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 13:59
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 13:59
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Pinnacle🎯5.41I 18.48%NM 17.83%EV +0.584%E +0.108%K +0.133%G +0.001%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.68%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.49%EV -2.63%E -0.586%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 14:15
BetUS🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.74%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.24%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.02%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 14:25
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -10.00%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:25
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.75%EV -0.531%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -10.00%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:24
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -1.46%E -0.276%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 14:00
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -1.46%E -0.276%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:55
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:04
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 14:05
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:25
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 14:23
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:54
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 14:10
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -11.01%E -7.39%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 14:19
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -11.01%E -7.39%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 14:25
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 13:59
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:55
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:25
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.09%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:20
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -8.90%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 14:00
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -11.61%E -7.85%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:20
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 13:44
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:55
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:54
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 14:08
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 14:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -13.55%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -9.22%E -6.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:10
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.35%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.22%E -6.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Matchbook◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-08-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-22 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-22 14:20
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30%1.9%2026-08-22 14:25
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-08-22 14:15