Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.89
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fortuna Sittard (Local): 18.59%; AZ Alkmaar (Visitante): 59.72%; Empate: 21.69%. Para Fortuna Sittard (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.38. 14 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.89, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.51%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.43%EV +9.51%E +1.61%K +1.94%G +0.185% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.94%EV -4.37%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.89%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.66%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV +3.01%E +0.633%K +0.802%G +0.024% | 3.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.68%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +1.92%E +0.409%K +0.520%G +0.010% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.91%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.68%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +1.92%E +0.409%K +0.520%G +0.010% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.60%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.14%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +2.26%E +0.411%K +0.502%G +0.011% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.83%EV +0.584%E +0.108%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.68%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.49%EV -2.63%E -0.586%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.74%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.24%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.02%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -10.00%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV +0.399%E +0.074%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.91%EV -9.82%E -6.50%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -2.41%E -0.536%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.75%EV -0.531%E -0.099%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.36%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.89%EV -10.00%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -1.46%E -0.276%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -1.46%E -0.276%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -0.245%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 14:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -11.01%E -7.39%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.87%EV -11.01%E -7.39%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -5.18%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.04%EV -12.21%E -8.31%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -3.85%E -2.39%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.25%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -5.67%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.78%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.09%E -2.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.04%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -8.90%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -10.76%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -11.61%E -7.85%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.10%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.78%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.26%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.45%EV -8.63%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -7.84%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 14:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -11.69%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.42%E -6.94%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -13.55%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.21%EV -9.22%E -6.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.24%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.92%E -2.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.48%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.35%EV -8.03%E -5.21%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -4.58%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.22%E -6.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.75%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.67% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.52% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.30% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 14:15 |