Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 13.00
assuming max odds 7.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Feyenoord (Local): 78.18%; SC Telstar (Visit): 8.05%; Draw: 13.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.26. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.14%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.63%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.23%EV +7.46%E +0.957%K +1.10%G +0.082% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.14%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.63%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.23%EV +7.46%E +0.957%K +1.10%G +0.082% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.42%EV +6.77%E +0.874%K +1.00%G +0.068% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.42%EV +6.77%E +0.874%K +1.00%G +0.068% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.05%EV -3.84%E -3.12%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.97%EV -1.84%E -0.150%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 7.49I 13.35%NM 12.98%EV +3.19%E +0.426%K +0.492%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.68%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 12.71I 7.87%NM 7.52%EV +2.27%E +0.178%K +0.194%G +0.004% | 7.47I 13.39%NM 12.80%EV +2.91%E +0.390%K +0.451%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-02-22 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.85%EV -4.62%E -3.79%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -15.51%E -1.48%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -0.116%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +4.60%E +0.354%K +0.383%G +0.018% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -0.805%E -0.112%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -3.06%E -2.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +4.60%E +0.354%K +0.383%G +0.018% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +4.60%E +0.354%K +0.383%G +0.018% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 18:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.62%E -3.79%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.62%E -3.79%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -9.32%E -8.03%K -58.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +4.60%E +0.354%K +0.383%G +0.018% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -6.32%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.81%EV -2.28%E -1.82%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.78%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV -7.00%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.81%EV -2.28%E -1.82%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.78%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV -7.00%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -7.00%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.98%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -23.56%E -2.48%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -7.00%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -4.62%E -3.79%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-22 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -10.88%E -9.54%K -77.70%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.51%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.18%EV -11.14%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 18:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.70%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -7.47%E -0.649%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-22 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -7.47%E -0.649%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-22 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -7.47%E -0.649%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-22 18:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.68%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -9.32%E -8.03%K -58.22%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -15.51%E -1.48%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 18:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 77.92%EV -14.79%E -13.57%K -164.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.49%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.59%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-02-22 18:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.41%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.65%EV -15.96%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.03%EV -11.66%E -10.32%K -89.70%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.70%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.27%EV -15.96%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-22 18:37 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.20%EV -9.32%E -8.03%K -58.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.26%EV -31.61%E -3.72%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -3.06%E -2.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV -9.48%E -0.843%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -22.16%E -3.92%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -10.88%E -9.54%K -77.70%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -24.23%E -4.40%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-22 18:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.96% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.96% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.96% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.96% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 1.2% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.52% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |