La escuela de los momios

Feyenoord v SC Telstar

Inicio: 2026-02-22 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Feyenoord (Local)

Predicción 78.18%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -9.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.20%78.08%78.44%80.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.191.201.2591.74%83.85%83.33%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Telstar (Visitante)

Predicción 8.05%12.43momio equitativo
EV +4.60%
Ventaja +0.354%
Kelly +0.383%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.11%8.15%7.91%10.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5011.4912.0013.0011.76%8.70%8.33%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 13.78%7.26momio equitativo
EV +7.46%
Ventaja +0.957%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.082%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.23%13.77%13.64%16.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.726.507.8018.18%14.88%15.38%12.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.14%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.63%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.23%EV +7.46%E +0.957%K +1.10%G +0.082%4.9%2026-02-22 18:20
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 80.14%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.63%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.23%EV +7.46%E +0.957%K +1.10%G +0.082%4.9%2026-02-22 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.42%EV +6.77%E +0.874%K +1.00%G +0.068%3.9%2026-02-22 18:20
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.56%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.42%EV +6.77%E +0.874%K +1.00%G +0.068%3.9%2026-02-22 18:20
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 79.05%EV -3.84%E -3.12%K -16.71%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.97%EV -1.84%E -0.150%K -0.164%G +0.000%7.49I 13.35%NM 12.98%EV +3.19%E +0.426%K +0.492%G +0.016%2.8%2026-02-22 18:54
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 79.68%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%12.71I 7.87%NM 7.52%EV +2.27%E +0.178%K +0.194%G +0.004%7.47I 13.39%NM 12.80%EV +2.91%E +0.390%K +0.451%G +0.013%4.6%2026-02-22 18:50
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.85%EV -4.62%E -3.79%K -21.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -15.51%E -1.48%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -0.116%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.84%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +4.60%E +0.354%K +0.383%G +0.018%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -0.805%E -0.112%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -3.06%E -2.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 18:45
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +4.60%E +0.354%K +0.383%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:54
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +4.60%E +0.354%K +0.383%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 18:48
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 18:20
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.62%E -3.79%K -21.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 18:35
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -4.62%E -3.79%K -21.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 18:30
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:20
Bovada1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:54
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:55
BetAnything1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 18:55
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 18:35
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -9.32%E -8.03%K -58.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV +4.60%E +0.354%K +0.383%G +0.018%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -3.56%E -0.509%K -0.593%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:35
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -6.32%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:25
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.81%EV -2.28%E -1.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.78%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV -7.00%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 18:45
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 77.81%EV -2.28%E -1.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.78%EV +0.579%E +0.046%K +0.050%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV -7.00%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 18:45
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -7.00%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.98%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -23.56%E -2.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -7.00%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -4.62%E -3.79%K -21.02%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 18:45
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:45
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:45
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:45
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 18:45
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 18:25
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 18:49
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 18:10
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 18:55
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 18:54
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 18:54
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 18:35
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -10.88%E -9.54%K -77.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -10.45%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 18:20
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 77.51%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.18%EV -11.14%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 18:45
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 18:44
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.67%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -3.44%E -0.287%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.70%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.06%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -7.47%E -0.649%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -11.83%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -7.47%E -0.649%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.58%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.89%EV -7.47%E -0.649%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.68%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 18:34
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -9.32%E -8.03%K -58.22%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -15.51%E -1.48%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 18:33
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 77.92%EV -14.79%E -13.57%K -164.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.49%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.59%EV -13.89%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-22 18:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.41%EV -8.53%E -7.29%K -50.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.65%EV -15.96%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 18:35
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.03%EV -11.66%E -10.32%K -89.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.70%EV -19.54%E -1.95%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.27%EV -15.96%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-22 18:37
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.20%EV -9.32%E -8.03%K -58.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.26%EV -31.61%E -3.72%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -17.34%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-22 18:20
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.21%EV -3.06%E -2.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV -9.48%E -0.843%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -22.16%E -3.92%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -10.88%E -9.54%K -77.70%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -11.49%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -24.23%E -4.40%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.96%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%1.2%2026-02-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.96%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%1.2%2026-02-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.96%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%1.2%2026-02-22 18:55
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 80.96%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.37%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%1.2%2026-02-22 18:55
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.52%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.55%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%1.8%2026-02-22 18:55