Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 12:30 UTC

Final: Feyenoord 2–2 ADO Den Haag

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Feyenoord (Local)

Prediction 79.49%1.26fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -9.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.95%79.41%79.56%81.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2389.29%85.02%84.75%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ADO Den Haag (Visit)

Prediction 7.92%12.63fair odd
EV +18.79%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.252%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.37%7.91%7.80%9.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5012.1012.0015.0010.53%8.27%8.33%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.59%7.94fair odd
EV +0.759%
Edge +0.095%
Kelly +0.108%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.60%12.68%12.64%14.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.287.508.0015.38%13.73%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Feyenoord (Local): 79.49%; ADO Den Haag (Visit): 7.92%; Draw: 12.59%. For ADO Den Haag (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.63. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +18.79%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-30 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +18.79%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-30 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +12.85%E +0.902%K +0.970%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +12.85%E +0.902%K +0.970%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +12.85%E +0.902%K +0.970%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:25
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +12.85%E +0.902%K +0.970%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:24
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.52%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%14.18I 7.05%NM 6.76%EV +12.30%E +0.867%K +0.933%G +0.115%7.53I 13.28%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.685%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 12:20
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.31%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +10.87%E +0.777%K +0.837%G +0.091%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-30 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.13%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV +10.87%E +0.777%K +0.837%G +0.091%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -2.39%E -0.308%K -0.354%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:15
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.58%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -2.39%E -0.308%K -0.354%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:10
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 12:14
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 07:40
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.77%EV -2.23%E -1.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.57%EV +1.37%E +0.107%K +0.116%G +0.002%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.66%EV -10.70%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.12%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.12%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.39%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.65%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.5%2026-08-30 12:25
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -16.87%E -2.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -16.87%E -2.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:25
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 12:15
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-30 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%7.8%2026-08-30 12:15
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:10
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -10.18%E -9.01%K -78.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 12:15
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.79%EV -10.98%E -9.80%K -91.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.45%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.66%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -6.80%E -0.919%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.29%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.29%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.44%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.44%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.44%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.81%EV -9.39%E -8.23%K -67.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.02%EV -13.10%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.52%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.47%EV -14.86%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 12:14
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.36%EV -2.39%E -0.308%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 12:19
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.39%E -8.23%K -67.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.39%E -8.23%K -67.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.70%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.14%EV -18.82%E -1.84%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.16%EV -3.02%E -0.392%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -24.76%E -2.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 12:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.71%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%0.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.71%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%0.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.64%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.53%0.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.49%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%1.0%2026-08-30 12:25
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.86%1.3%2026-08-30 12:25
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.61%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-08-30 12:25