Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Feyenoord v ADO Den Haag

Início: 2026-08-30 12:30 UTC

Final: Feyenoord 2–2 ADO Den Haag

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Feyenoord (Local)

Previsão 79.49%1.26odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -9.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.95%79.41%79.56%81.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.181.181.2389.29%85.02%84.75%81.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

ADO Den Haag (Visitante)

Previsão 7.92%12.63odd justa
EV +18.79%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescimento +0.252%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.37%7.91%7.80%9.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.5012.1012.0015.0010.53%8.27%8.33%6.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 12.59%7.94odd justa
EV +0.759%
Vantagem +0.095%
Kelly +0.108%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.60%12.68%12.64%14.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.507.287.508.0015.38%13.73%13.33%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Feyenoord (Local): 79.49%; ADO Den Haag (Visitante): 7.92%; Empate: 12.59%. Para ADO Den Haag (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.63. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 15.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +18.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +18.79%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-30 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +18.79%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.6%2026-08-30 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +12.85%E +0.902%K +0.970%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +12.85%E +0.902%K +0.970%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +12.85%E +0.902%K +0.970%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:25
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +12.85%E +0.902%K +0.970%G +0.125%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:24
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.52%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%14.18I 7.05%NM 6.76%EV +12.30%E +0.867%K +0.933%G +0.115%7.53I 13.28%NM 12.72%EV -5.16%E -0.685%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 12:20
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.31%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.80%EV +10.87%E +0.777%K +0.837%G +0.091%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-30 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.13%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV +10.87%E +0.777%K +0.837%G +0.091%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -2.39%E -0.308%K -0.354%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:15
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.58%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -2.39%E -0.308%K -0.354%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:10
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 12:14
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV +2.96%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 07:40
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.77%EV -2.23%E -1.82%K -9.71%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.57%EV +1.37%E +0.107%K +0.116%G +0.002%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.66%EV -10.70%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.12%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.12%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.76%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.39%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.65%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.96%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.5%2026-08-30 12:25
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -16.87%E -2.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.12%EV -3.82%E -3.16%K -18.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.32%EV -16.87%E -2.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:25
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.89%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -1.00%E -0.080%K -0.087%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 12:15
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-30 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +0.759%E +0.095%K +0.108%G +0.001%7.8%2026-08-30 12:15
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:10
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.00%E -5.98%K -41.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -10.18%E -9.01%K -78.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 12:15
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.79%EV -10.98%E -9.80%K -91.47%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.45%EV -4.96%E -0.414%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.66%EV -4.62%E -3.85%K -23.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.58%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -6.80%E -0.919%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.29%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.29%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.44%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.44%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.44%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.81%EV -9.39%E -8.23%K -67.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -12.88%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.02%EV -13.10%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.52%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.47%EV -14.86%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 12:14
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.36%EV -2.39%E -0.308%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 12:19
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.39%E -8.23%K -67.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -9.39%E -8.23%K -67.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV -16.84%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -11.84%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.70%EV -5.41%E -4.55%K -28.49%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.14%EV -18.82%E -1.84%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.16%EV -3.02%E -0.392%K -0.451%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -3.03%E -2.48%K -13.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -7.80%E -6.72%K -48.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -6.21%E -5.26%K -34.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -20.80%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -18.13%E -2.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -8.59%E -7.47%K -57.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -24.76%E -2.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -8.69%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 12:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.71%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%0.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.71%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%0.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.64%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.83%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.53%0.8%2026-08-30 12:25
Matchbook◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.49%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%1.0%2026-08-30 12:25
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.86%1.3%2026-08-30 12:25
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.61%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-08-30 12:25