Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.35
assuming max odds 3.26
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zwolle (Local): 41.48%; NAC Breda (Visit): 31.28%; Draw: 27.24%. For NAC Breda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.19%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.77%EV +1.97%E +0.603%K +0.870%G +0.017% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -3.30%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.30%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 19:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.63%EV -5.84%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 19:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:17 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.04%EV -5.01%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.04%EV -5.01%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.04%EV -5.01%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -5.84%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -8.47%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 19:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.57%E -4.39%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.89%E -6.14%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-21 19:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.42%E -2.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -9.98%E -4.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -9.98%E -4.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 19:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -14.96%E -7.30%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.92%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.96%EV -14.13%E -6.83%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -12.89%E -6.14%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -12.89%E -6.14%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -15.55%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.28%E -6.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-21 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.73%EV -17.04%E -8.52%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.91%EV -15.55%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.36%EV -16.92%E -5.55%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 19:45 |