La escuela de los momios

FC Zwolle v NAC Breda

Inicio: 2026-03-21 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Zwolle (Local)

Predicción 41.48%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.36%41.52%41.49%42.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.232.252.3550.00%44.82%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

NAC Breda (Visitante)

Predicción 31.28%3.20momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.603%
Kelly +0.870%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.77%31.27%31.27%32.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.2637.04%33.59%33.33%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.24%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.538%
Kelly -0.745%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.47%27.21%27.24%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.453.6033.33%29.30%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.19%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.77%EV +1.97%E +0.603%K +0.870%G +0.017%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.05%EV -5.75%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 19:54
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 19:10
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 19:10
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.00%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 19:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 19:54
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:35
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 19:35
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -2.93%E -1.25%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.66%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 19:35
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -3.30%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 19:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.30%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:10
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 19:09
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.63%EV -5.84%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.60%E -1.51%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:04
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 19:17
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:20
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:20
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 41.04%EV -5.01%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 19:55
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 41.04%EV -5.01%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 19:54
BetAnything2.29I 43.67%NM 41.04%EV -5.01%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 19:54
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:10
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:10
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -7.49%E -3.36%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:09
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:34
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:34
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:39
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 19:54
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 19:09
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 19:10
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.66%E -2.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 19:14
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:54
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:54
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 19:54
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -5.84%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.48%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -8.47%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 19:30
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:30
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -3.76%E -1.62%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:34
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.52%E -1.07%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:35
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 19:19
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:10
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -9.57%E -4.39%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 19:10
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.89%E -6.14%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-21 19:33
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.59%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 19:20
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -5.42%E -2.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 19:34
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -9.98%E -4.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 19:10
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -9.98%E -4.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 19:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 19:34
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.38%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -14.96%E -7.30%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 19:34
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.81%E -5.03%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.92%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 19:35
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.96%EV -14.13%E -6.83%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.47%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -14.19%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-21 19:50
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.74%E -3.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -12.89%E -6.14%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -12.42%E -4.44%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-21 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -12.89%E -6.14%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -15.55%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.28%E -6.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-21 19:30
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.73%EV -17.04%E -8.52%K -17.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.91%EV -15.55%E -5.76%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.36%EV -16.92%E -5.55%K -8.25%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-03-21 19:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-03-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-21 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-03-21 19:55
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-03-21 19:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-03-21 19:45