Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zwolle v Groningen

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prediction 35.06%2.85fair odd
EV -0.066%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.036%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.11%35.07%34.97%35.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.672.8541.67%37.57%37.45%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Groningen (Visit)

Prediction 38.12%2.62fair odd
EV -0.114%
Edge -0.044%
Kelly -0.070%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.15%38.17%39.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.452.6245.45%41.19%40.82%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.81%3.73fair odd
EV -0.799%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.296%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%26.78%26.85%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.463.503.7033.33%28.88%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zwolle (Local): 35.06%; Groningen (Visit): 38.12%; Draw: 26.81%. For FC Zwolle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.852. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.850, with an expected value of -0.066%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.25%EV -0.066%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.38%EV -0.799%E -0.216%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-13 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.13%EV -0.066%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -2.14%E -0.586%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-13 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.13%EV -0.066%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -2.14%E -0.586%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-13 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.07%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.81%EV -2.40%E -0.938%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -4.28%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.40%E -0.938%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.40%E -0.938%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 18:50
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:30
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:30
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:30
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 18:50
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.87%EV -4.62%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.93%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.87%EV -4.62%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.93%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 18:05
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.03%EV -0.114%E -0.044%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -3.75%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 13:05
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 09:29
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 18:54
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 17:59
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:54
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 18:30
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:50
Bovada🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.96%EV -5.68%E -2.11%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.77%EV -5.07%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:54
BetAnything🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.96%EV -5.68%E -2.11%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.77%EV -5.07%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.39%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.77%EV -5.83%E -2.36%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -8.31%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 13:14
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:20
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 15:24
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:15
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 13:05
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 18:00
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-13 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 34.59%EV -9.53%E -3.70%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -13.46%E -5.93%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -8.31%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 18:32
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 13:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -14.22%E -6.32%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.37%EV -13.46%E -5.93%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -19.57%E -6.52%K -9.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-13 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-13 13:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.85%E -6.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -16.89%E -5.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-13 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.00%0.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-03-13 18:55
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.78%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-03-13 18:55