L’École des cotes

FC Zwolle v Groningen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prévision 35.06%2.85cote équitable
EV -0.066%
Avantage -0.023%
Kelly -0.036%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.11%35.07%34.97%35.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.662.672.8541.67%37.57%37.45%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Groningen (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.12%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.114%
Avantage -0.044%
Kelly -0.070%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.15%38.17%39.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.452.6245.45%41.19%40.82%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.81%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.799%
Avantage -0.216%
Kelly -0.296%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%26.78%26.85%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.503.7033.33%28.88%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.25%EV -0.066%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.38%EV -0.799%E -0.216%K -0.296%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-13 18:30
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.13%EV -0.066%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -2.14%E -0.586%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-13 18:50
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.13%EV -0.066%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -2.14%E -0.586%K -0.807%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-13 18:50
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.07%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.81%EV -2.40%E -0.938%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -4.28%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 18:55
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.40%E -0.938%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.40%E -0.938%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 18:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -7.36%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 18:55
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:30
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:30
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:30
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 18:50
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.87%EV -4.62%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.93%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 18:05
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.87%EV -4.62%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.64%EV -3.93%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 18:05
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.03%EV -0.114%E -0.044%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -3.75%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 18:54
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 13:05
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 09:29
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 18:54
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 17:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:54
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 18:30
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 18:30
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -5.33%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:50
Bovada2.69I 37.17%NM 34.96%EV -5.68%E -2.11%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.77%EV -5.07%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:54
BetAnything2.69I 37.17%NM 34.96%EV -5.68%E -2.11%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.77%EV -5.07%E -2.04%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.50%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:55
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.39%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.77%EV -5.83%E -2.36%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -8.31%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:55
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 18:54
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -5.45%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.82%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 13:14
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 13:05
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.69%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 15:24
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 18:34
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -7.08%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.17%E -4.79%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:15
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:15
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 13:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 13:05
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 13:04
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.13%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 13:04
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:25
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.48%E -0.967%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-13 18:00
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.83%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-13 18:15
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.59%EV -9.53%E -3.70%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -13.46%E -5.93%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -8.31%E -2.43%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 18:32
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.50%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.16%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 13:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -14.22%E -6.32%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.18%E -3.04%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 13:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -11.52%E -3.49%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.37%EV -13.46%E -5.93%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.34%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -19.57%E -6.52%K -9.78%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-13 18:15
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -14.09%E -5.75%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -8.84%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-13 13:05
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.85%E -6.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -16.13%E -7.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -16.89%E -5.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-13 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.00%0.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-03-13 18:55
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.78%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-03-13 18:55