L’École des cotes

FC Zwolle v Feyenoord

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Score final : FC Zwolle 0–2 Feyenoord

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Zwolle (Local)

Prévision 24.21%4.13cote équitable
EV -0.738%
Avantage -0.180%
Kelly -0.238%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.81%24.18%24.18%25.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.833.834.1028.57%26.12%26.11%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Feyenoord (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.08%1.88cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -4.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.80%53.12%53.10%54.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8159.88%57.25%57.14%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.71%4.40cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.275%
Kelly -0.357%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.52%22.71%22.72%24.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.054.104.3529.41%24.69%24.39%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -0.738%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.93%E -2.17%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.40%EV -1.20%E -0.275%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 06:40
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -0.738%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.93%E -2.17%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.40%EV -1.20%E -0.275%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 06:40
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -0.738%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -1.20%E -0.275%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 06:41
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -0.738%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 06:35
Pinnacle4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -1.46%E -0.360%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.56%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:16
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.92%EV -2.92%E -0.728%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 06:35
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -3.16%E -0.790%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -2.33%E -0.542%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 15:44
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.790%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:45
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.16%E -0.790%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 15:45
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 22:26
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:35
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:40
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:03
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 06:30
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 06:30
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.52%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 15:45
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:30
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:40
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:40
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:40
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 06:30
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.33%E -0.542%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 06:35
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -5.52%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:05
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:30
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:40
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 24.18%EV -7.28%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:04
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 06:35
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 06:30
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -2.33%E -0.542%K -0.706%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 06:34
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -5.52%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:35
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 04:10
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 06:35
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 06:34
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -8.01%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 08:05
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:41
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:40
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:40
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:40
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:40
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.79%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 06:40
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.79%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 06:40
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 06:34
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:40
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:41
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:41
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:40
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.36%E -6.80%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:10
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 06:35
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -10.83%E -6.45%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 06:40
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 08:05
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -11.36%E -6.80%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 22:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 06:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.80%EV -11.36%E -6.80%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.95%EV -22.77%E -6.70%K -9.49%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-17 06:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-17 08:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-17 08:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-05-17 01:40