La escuela de los momios

FC Zwolle v Feyenoord

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Final: FC Zwolle 0–2 Feyenoord

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Zwolle (Local)

Predicción 24.21%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.738%
Ventaja -0.180%
Kelly -0.238%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.81%24.18%24.18%25.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.833.834.1028.57%26.12%26.11%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Predicción 53.08%1.88momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -4.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.80%53.12%53.10%54.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.751.8159.88%57.25%57.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.71%4.40momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.275%
Kelly -0.357%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.52%22.71%22.72%24.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.054.104.3529.41%24.69%24.39%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -0.738%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.93%E -2.17%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.40%EV -1.20%E -0.275%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 06:40
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -0.738%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.93%E -2.17%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.40%EV -1.20%E -0.275%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 06:40
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%EV -0.738%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.11%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -1.20%E -0.275%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 06:41
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -0.738%E -0.180%K -0.238%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 06:35
Pinnacle4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -1.46%E -0.360%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.56%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:16
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.92%EV -2.92%E -0.728%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.79%EV -4.38%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 06:35
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -3.16%E -0.790%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -2.33%E -0.542%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 15:44
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.16%E -0.790%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:45
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.16%E -0.790%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 15:45
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.49%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 22:26
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:35
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.61%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:40
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:03
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:05
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -4.37%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.34%EV -6.59%E -3.74%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 06:30
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 06:30
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.52%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 15:45
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:30
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:40
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:40
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:40
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.58%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 06:30
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.33%E -0.542%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 06:35
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -5.52%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:05
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:30
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.79%E -1.76%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:40
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 24.18%EV -7.28%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:04
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 06:35
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 06:30
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.00%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -2.33%E -0.542%K -0.706%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 06:34
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -5.52%E -3.10%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:35
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 04:10
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 06:35
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 06:34
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -8.01%E -1.98%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 08:05
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -10.28%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:41
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:40
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:40
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:40
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 06:40
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.79%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 06:40
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.21%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.79%EV -9.24%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 06:40
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 06:34
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:40
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:41
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:41
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 06:40
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -10.42%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.36%E -6.80%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:10
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.65%E -4.40%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -4.60%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.12%E -4.07%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 06:35
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -11.63%E -3.19%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.72%EV -10.83%E -6.45%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -12.55%E -3.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 06:40
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.71%E -5.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.87%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 08:05
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.84%E -3.57%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -11.36%E -6.80%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 22:20
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -9.77%E -5.75%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 06:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -15.26%E -4.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.80%EV -11.36%E -6.80%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.95%EV -22.77%E -6.70%K -9.49%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-17 06:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-17 08:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-17 08:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-05-17 01:40