Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Volendam v Feyenoord

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Volendam (Local)

Prediction 15.63%6.40fair odd
EV +2.25%
Edge +0.343%
Kelly +0.405%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 6.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.37%15.64%15.73%17.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.905.756.5419.23%16.96%17.39%15.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Feyenoord (Visit)

Prediction 64.49%1.55fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.43%64.53%64.39%66.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.451.441.5172.99%69.10%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd
EV -0.622%
Edge -0.124%
Kelly -0.155%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%19.83%19.87%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.614.605.0026.67%21.67%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Volendam (Local): 15.63%; Feyenoord (Visit): 64.49%; Draw: 19.88%. For FC Volendam (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.40. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.54I 15.29%NM 14.88%EV +2.25%E +0.343%K +0.405%G +0.009%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.33%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.79%EV -2.21%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 12:25
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.295%G +0.005%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:23
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.295%G +0.005%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.295%G +0.005%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.09%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.80%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.09%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.80%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 11:55
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:55
Betsson🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:55
Pinnacle🎯6.26I 15.97%NM 15.38%EV -2.13%E -0.340%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.01%EV -4.40%E -0.914%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.29%E -0.366%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.29%E -0.366%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -3.07%E -0.495%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.669%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -5.41%E -0.895%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:19
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 11:55
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 12:05
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 12:05
BetAnything🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.25%EV -7.58%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 12:25
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:55
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:55
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:54
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:40
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:55
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:55
William Hill🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.32%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.47%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.40%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.40%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:00
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:00
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:01
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 12:14
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 12:00
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 12:00
LeoVegas🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 12:00
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:01
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -12.45%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.22%EV -10.36%E -7.45%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 12:06
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 12:19
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 11:40
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -11.55%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 12:04
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.94%E -3.22%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:40
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.37%EV -11.65%E -8.50%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.47%E -6.79%K -9.26%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-05 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -17.14%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.26%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:04
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -18.70%E -3.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.95%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 12:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-05 12:25
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%1.1%2026-04-05 12:20
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-04-05 12:20