La escuela de los momios

FC Volendam v Feyenoord

Inicio: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Volendam (Local)

Predicción 15.63%6.40momio equitativo
EV +2.25%
Ventaja +0.343%
Kelly +0.405%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.37%15.64%15.73%17.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.205.905.756.5419.23%16.96%17.39%15.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Predicción 64.49%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -5.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%64.53%64.39%66.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.451.441.5172.99%69.10%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.88%5.03momio equitativo
EV -0.622%
Ventaja -0.124%
Kelly -0.155%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%19.83%19.87%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.614.605.0026.67%21.67%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.88%EV +2.25%E +0.343%K +0.405%G +0.009%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.33%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.79%EV -2.21%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 12:25
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.295%G +0.005%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.622%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:23
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.295%G +0.005%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.62%E +0.249%K +0.295%G +0.005%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:00
LowVig.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 15.09%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.80%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 11:55
BetOnline.ag6.40I 15.63%NM 15.09%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.80%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.11%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 11:55
NordicBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:55
Betsson6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.057%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:55
Pinnacle6.26I 15.97%NM 15.38%EV -2.13%E -0.340%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.01%EV -4.40%E -0.914%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 12:15
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -2.29%E -0.366%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:50
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -2.29%E -0.366%K -0.436%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:50
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -3.07%E -0.495%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.669%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:19
Marathon Bet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -5.41%E -0.895%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.75%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:19
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 11:55
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 12:19
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 12:05
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 12:05
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 12:05
BetAnything6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.25%EV -7.58%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 12:25
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:55
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:55
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:54
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:40
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:55
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.20%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:55
William Hill5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.32%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.47%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 12:04
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.40%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.65%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.40%EV -2.62%E -1.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:00
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.60%E -0.958%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 12:15
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:00
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:00
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:01
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 12:14
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 12:00
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 12:00
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 12:00
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:01
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:00
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 12:00
PMU (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:00
Virgin Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:00
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.10%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.55%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:00
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.94%EV -12.45%E -2.22%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.22%EV -10.36%E -7.45%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 12:06
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 12:19
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 11:40
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 12:19
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -11.55%E -2.60%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 12:04
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.94%E -3.22%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:40
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.37%EV -11.65%E -8.50%K -31.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -14.01%E -2.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -25.47%E -6.79%K -9.26%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-05 11:25
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -17.14%E -3.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.26%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -8.57%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:04
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -18.70%E -3.60%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.95%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 12:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-04-05 12:25
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%1.1%2026-04-05 12:20
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-04-05 12:20