La scuola delle quote

FC Utrecht v SC Telstar

Inizio: 2026-04-11 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Utrecht (Casa)

Previsione 59.58%1.68quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.665%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.76%59.52%59.56%62.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.561.561.6667.57%64.26%64.10%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Telstar (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.66%5.66quota equa
EV +10.40%
Vantaggio +1.66%
Kelly +1.98%
Crescita +0.206%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.52%17.72%17.63%19.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.405.385.506.2522.73%18.59%18.18%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.76%4.39quota equa
EV +2.42%
Vantaggio +0.537%
Kelly +0.691%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.16%22.77%22.81%24.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.064.104.5028.57%24.62%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52%EV +10.40%E +1.66%K +1.98%G +0.206%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%EV -0.997%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 13:45
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +7.75%E +1.27%K +1.52%G +0.118%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +7.75%E +1.27%K +1.52%G +0.118%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +5.99%E +0.998%K +1.20%G +0.072%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV +5.99%E +0.998%K +1.20%G +0.072%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:34
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -3.49%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV +4.22%E +0.715%K +0.861%G +0.036%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.21%EV -9.42%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 14:15
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.53%EV -1.10%E -0.665%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.50%EV +4.04%E +0.686%K +0.827%G +0.033%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.98%EV -11.47%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 14:19
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:45
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:34
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -12.38%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:45
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -11.83%E -7.99%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -11.83%E -7.99%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:35
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -11.83%E -7.99%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV +0.687%E +0.121%K +0.146%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:14
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -1.08%E -0.193%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -12.38%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:24
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -1.08%E -0.193%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -12.38%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:25
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.08%E -0.193%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 14:04
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 14:05
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:04
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:04
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.10%EV -3.73%E -0.684%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 14:04
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.75%EV -1.70%E -1.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.81%EV -5.50%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 14:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.75%EV -1.70%E -1.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.81%EV -5.50%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 14:04
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +2.42%E +0.537%K +0.691%G +0.017%5.0%2026-04-11 14:03
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -4.08%E -2.54%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 12:35
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.08%E -2.54%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.08%E -2.54%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 12:34
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.27%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:44
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -9.91%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 14:10
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -0.997%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 14:05
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:14
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -2.89%E -1.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:04
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 14:19
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 14:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 14:05
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.15%EV -11.83%E -7.99%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.47%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -16.09%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 14:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:19
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -20.51%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-11 14:04
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -22.28%E -5.06%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 14:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-04-11 14:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-04-11 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:25
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:25
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-04-11 14:15