L’École des cotes

FC Utrecht v SC Telstar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Utrecht (Local)

Prévision 59.58%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.665%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%59.52%59.56%62.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.561.6667.57%64.26%64.10%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Telstar (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.66%5.66cote équitable
EV +10.40%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +1.98%
Croissance +0.206%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.52%17.72%17.63%19.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.385.506.2522.73%18.59%18.18%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.76%4.39cote équitable
EV +2.42%
Avantage +0.537%
Kelly +0.691%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.16%22.77%22.81%24.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.064.104.5028.57%24.62%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52%EV +10.40%E +1.66%K +1.98%G +0.206%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%EV -0.997%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 13:45
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +7.75%E +1.27%K +1.52%G +0.118%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.63%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.86%EV +7.75%E +1.27%K +1.52%G +0.118%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +5.99%E +0.998%K +1.20%G +0.072%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV +5.99%E +0.998%K +1.20%G +0.072%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:34
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -3.49%E -2.15%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.33%EV +4.22%E +0.715%K +0.861%G +0.036%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.21%EV -9.42%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 14:15
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.53%EV -1.10%E -0.665%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.50%EV +4.04%E +0.686%K +0.827%G +0.033%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.98%EV -11.47%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 14:19
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:45
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:34
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.40%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.99%EV +2.45%E +0.423%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.49%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -12.38%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:45
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -11.83%E -7.99%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -11.83%E -7.99%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:35
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -11.83%E -7.99%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV +1.57%E +0.273%K +0.331%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:35
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV +0.687%E +0.121%K +0.146%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:14
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -1.08%E -0.193%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -12.38%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:24
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 58.93%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -1.08%E -0.193%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -12.38%E -3.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:25
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.08%E -0.193%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 14:04
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 14:05
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:04
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -2.85%E -0.517%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:04
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.10%EV -3.73%E -0.684%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 14:04
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.75%EV -1.70%E -1.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.81%EV -5.50%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 14:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.75%EV -1.70%E -1.03%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.81%EV -5.50%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 14:04
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV +2.42%E +0.537%K +0.691%G +0.017%5.0%2026-04-11 14:03
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -4.08%E -2.54%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 12:35
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.08%E -2.54%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.08%E -2.54%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -8.96%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 12:34
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.27%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:44
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.69%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -9.91%E -1.94%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 14:10
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -0.997%E -0.229%K -0.298%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 14:05
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:14
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -2.89%E -1.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:04
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 14:19
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 14:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.51%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 14:05
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.15%EV -11.83%E -7.99%K -24.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.51%EV -11.68%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -14.65%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.47%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -16.09%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 14:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:19
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -2.13%E -0.496%K -0.647%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -20.51%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -20.34%E -5.81%K -8.14%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-11 14:04
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -10.64%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -22.28%E -5.06%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-04-11 14:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.40%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-04-11 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:25
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-04-11 14:25
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-04-11 14:15