Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.40
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 5.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Utrecht (Local): 16.50%; PSV Eindhoven (Visit): 65.03%; Draw: 18.48%. For FC Utrecht (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.06. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.57%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +5.57%E +0.870%K +1.03%G +0.057% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.12%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +5.57%E +0.870%K +1.03%G +0.057% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.12%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +5.57%E +0.870%K +1.03%G +0.057% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.621%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.77%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 09:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 09:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.17%EV -1.69%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.26%EV -2.43%E -0.460%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 10:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.35%EV -2.02%E -0.340%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.73%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.93%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -2.68%E -0.454%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -2.68%E -0.454%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -4.33%E -0.746%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.15%EV -8.31%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -4.33%E -0.746%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.97%EV -3.11%E -2.09%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 09:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.93%EV -7.30%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.03%EV -1.81%E -1.20%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.04%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.31%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.31%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.34%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.34%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.34%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 09:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -3.76%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -3.76%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.76%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.76%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.10%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 10:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.60%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 09:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 09:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.84%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -10.93%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.31%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -10.93%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 10:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -14.22%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.23%EV -9.61%E -6.92%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.88%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 09:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -19.17%E -3.91%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -8.31%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -21.65%E -4.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.91%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-30 09:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.59% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.04% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.59% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.04% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.74% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 10:10 |