The School of Odds
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FC Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven

2026-08-30 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Utrecht (Local)

Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV +0.734%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.204%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%21.84%21.85%23.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.224.204.6027.40%23.67%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PSV Eindhoven (Visit)

Prediction 56.75%1.76fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -5.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.02%56.74%56.77%58.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.631.6965.36%61.42%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.35%4.68fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -0.924%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.70%21.42%21.38%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.284.334.5325.64%23.36%23.09%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Utrecht (Local): 21.90%; PSV Eindhoven (Visit): 56.75%; Draw: 21.35%. For FC Utrecht (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.60, producing a positive expected value of +0.734%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +0.734%E +0.160%K +0.204%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -9.21%E -5.75%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 14:35
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -1.46%E -0.324%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.94%E -4.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.90%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.46%E -0.324%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.90%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 13:15
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.46%E -0.324%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.90%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 13:15
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.46%E -0.324%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.21%E -5.75%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -3.90%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 13:15
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -1.46%E -0.324%K -0.416%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.77%E -6.15%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.90%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 13:10
1xBet🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.55%EV -2.33%E -0.523%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -4.67%E -2.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.22%EV -3.26%E -0.720%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 13:35
Pinnacle🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.65%E -0.829%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.35%EV -5.19%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 13:55
Bovada🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.74%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:15
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.75%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 13:43
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.75%EV -6.37%E -3.86%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 13:50
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -9.21%E -5.75%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 13:10
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -5.18%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -10.91%E -6.95%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 13:10
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -10.31%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 15:49
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -4.10%E -2.42%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 15:49
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.04%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -7.11%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 13:00
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 13:45
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 13:05
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.64%E -5.37%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 12:54
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -8.64%E -5.37%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -13.51%E -3.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.16%EV -13.50%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.48%EV -12.04%E -7.77%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-23 13:00
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.03%EV -13.18%E -8.61%K -24.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -16.72%E -4.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-23 13:10
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -17.88%E -4.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.32%EV -9.21%E -5.75%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -10.31%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -17.88%E -4.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.35%EV -10.34%E -6.54%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -12.45%E -3.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-23 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.52%EV -20.07%E -5.50%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.02%EV -11.48%E -7.36%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -14.58%E -3.65%K -4.86%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%5.9%2026-08-23 18:30
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%13.5%2026-08-23 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%177.8%2026-08-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%177.8%2026-08-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-08-23 15:20