Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven

Início: 2026-08-30 10:15 UTC

Final: FC Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Utrecht (Local)

Previsão 16.50%6.06odd justa
EV +5.57%
Vantagem +0.870%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.05%16.60%16.34%18.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.695.696.4021.05%17.57%17.59%15.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

PSV Eindhoven (Visitante)

Previsão 65.03%1.54odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -3.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.88%64.88%65.12%66.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.391.441.431.5171.94%69.57%69.93%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 18.48%5.41odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -0.460%
Kelly -0.568%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.66%18.51%18.54%20.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.954.955.2822.22%20.19%20.20%18.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Utrecht (Local): 16.50%; PSV Eindhoven (Visitante): 65.03%; Empate: 18.48%. Para FC Utrecht (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.06. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +5.57%E +0.870%K +1.03%G +0.057%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.12%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%EV +5.57%E +0.870%K +1.03%G +0.057%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.12%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV +5.57%E +0.870%K +1.03%G +0.057%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.43%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 09:45
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.621%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.77%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 09:45
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 09:55
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 09:58
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 10:10
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:04
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 09:45
Casumo🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 09:45
betPARX🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 09:50
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -1.03%E -0.171%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 09:50
Pinnacle🎯5.96I 16.78%NM 16.17%EV -1.69%E -0.283%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.26%EV -2.43%E -0.460%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 10:05
1xBet🎯5.94I 16.84%NM 16.35%EV -2.02%E -0.340%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.73%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.93%EV -5.20%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 10:05
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -2.68%E -0.454%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 09:50
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -2.68%E -0.454%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -4.33%E -0.746%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.15%EV -8.31%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 10:10
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -4.33%E -0.746%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 09:45
BetUS🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.97%EV -3.11%E -2.09%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 09:55
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 10:10
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 10:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.32%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 09:54
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 10:10
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -5.15%E -0.896%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.71%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 09:50
BetAnything🎯5.62I 17.79%NM 16.93%EV -7.30%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.03%EV -1.81%E -1.20%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.04%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 06:50
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 09:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.31%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 09:45
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -8.31%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.34%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.34%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -7.63%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.34%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -15.00%E -3.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 09:45
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -3.76%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 09:50
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.47%EV -3.76%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.76%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.76%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 09:50
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.10%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -2.99%E -0.569%K -0.702%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:05
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 10:10
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.36%E -4.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 10:10
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.60%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 09:54
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -7.60%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 09:54
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 09:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 10:00
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.28%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -16.84%E -3.74%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -10.93%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.31%EV -4.41%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -3.91%E -0.752%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -10.93%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -7.66%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 10:09
NetBet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -14.22%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.23%EV -9.61%E -6.92%K -24.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -11.30%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -5.76%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.88%EV -7.01%E -4.90%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -13.15%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 09:49
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -19.17%E -3.91%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -8.31%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -9.45%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 09:50
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -21.65%E -4.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.91%EV -8.96%E -6.40%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -12.22%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 09:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.59%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-30 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.59%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.04%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-30 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.59%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.04%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-30 10:10
Matchbook◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.74%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.2%2026-08-30 10:10
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63%2.0%2026-08-30 10:10
Smarkets◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.85%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%2.0%2026-08-30 10:10