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FC Utrecht v Go Ahead Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-09-08 11:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Utrecht (Local)

Prediction 49.43%2.02fair odd
EV +0.829%
Edge +0.406%
Kelly +0.797%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.42%49.07%49.63%51.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.882.0455.56%52.68%53.33%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 28.13%3.55fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.357%
Kelly +0.495%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.18%28.44%27.96%31.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.313.6033.33%30.16%30.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -0.993%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.13%22.49%22.41%24.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.104.204.3126.32%24.42%23.81%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Utrecht (Local): 49.43%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visit): 28.13%; Draw: 22.44%. For Go Ahead Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.68%EV +0.829%E +0.406%K +0.797%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.10%EV -3.29%E -0.763%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.68%EV +0.829%E +0.406%K +0.797%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.10%EV -3.29%E -0.763%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 20:19
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.63%EV +0.829%E +0.406%K +0.797%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.18%EV -3.74%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:25
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -0.159%E -0.079%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -15.60%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 20:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -4.90%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 12:55
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV +1.29%E +0.357%K +0.495%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.51%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 11:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV +1.29%E +0.357%K +0.495%G +0.006%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 11:39
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.58%EV -10.54%E -5.82%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -2.93%E -0.851%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:39
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -15.60%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.