默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Utrecht v Go Ahead Eagles

开赛时间: 2026-09-08 11:55 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Utrecht (主队)

预测 49.43%2.02公平赔率
EV +0.829%
优势 +0.406%
Kelly +0.797%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 2.04

博彩公司预测分布
46.42%49.07%49.63%51.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.901.882.0455.56%52.68%53.33%49.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Go Ahead Eagles (客队)

预测 28.13%3.55公平赔率
EV +1.29%
优势 +0.357%
Kelly +0.495%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.18%28.44%27.96%31.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.323.313.6033.33%30.16%30.17%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.44%4.46公平赔率
EV -3.29%
优势 -0.763%
Kelly -0.993%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.31

博彩公司预测分布
21.13%22.49%22.41%24.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.104.204.3126.32%24.42%23.81%23.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Utrecht (主队):49.43%;Go Ahead Eagles (客队):28.13%;平局:22.44%。 对于“Go Ahead Eagles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.55。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.60,对应+1.29%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.68%EV +0.829%E +0.406%K +0.797%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.10%EV -3.29%E -0.763%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 20:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.68%EV +0.829%E +0.406%K +0.797%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.10%EV -3.29%E -0.763%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 20:19
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.63%EV +0.829%E +0.406%K +0.797%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -14.19%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.18%EV -3.74%E -0.871%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:25
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -0.159%E -0.079%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -15.60%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 20:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -14.73%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -4.90%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 12:55
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV +1.29%E +0.357%K +0.495%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.51%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 11:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV +1.29%E +0.357%K +0.495%G +0.006%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 11:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 11:39
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.58%EV -10.54%E -5.82%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -2.93%E -0.851%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:39
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -1.53%E -0.436%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.24%E -2.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -15.60%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 23:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。