La scuola delle quote

FC Utrecht v Fortuna Sittard

Inizio: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Finale: FC Utrecht 2–0 Fortuna Sittard

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Utrecht (Casa)

Previsione 63.60%1.57quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -1.76%
Kelly -5.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.48%63.52%63.68%65.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.471.481.5371.94%68.21%67.57%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortuna Sittard (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.79%5.96quota equa
EV +4.94%
Vantaggio +0.790%
Kelly +0.940%
Crescita +0.046%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.23%16.75%16.81%18.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.535.506.2520.00%18.09%18.18%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.61%5.10quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.388%
Kelly -0.485%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.81%19.73%19.51%22.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.634.705.0026.67%21.62%21.28%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +4.94%E +0.790%K +0.940%G +0.046%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 10:00
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.98%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.05%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.98%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.05%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.43%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.84%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.51%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 10:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 10:00
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 10:00
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.69%E -6.82%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 12:30
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -0.100%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -0.100%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:10
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.46%EV -2.45%E -0.422%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.36%EV -3.12%E -0.631%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 08:16
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -3.29%E -0.571%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.45%EV -3.31%E -0.672%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:16
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 05:01
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.71%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.50%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -4.30%E -0.754%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:05
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.69%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 05:40
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:12
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 06:44
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:45
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 00:35
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.24%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 05:40
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:35
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:35
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 05:39
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 00:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-14 09:59
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 12:30
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.25%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -9.33%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.71%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:45
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.12%EV -11.60%E -8.34%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -9.33%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 08:19
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.53%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 05:40
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 62.23%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 62.23%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:45
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:45
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.06%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.07%EV -12.69%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.88%EV -16.65%E -3.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -14.37%E -2.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 05:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -26.45%E -7.05%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-05-17 08:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-17 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.6%2026-05-17 08:01
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-05-17 06:50