La escuela de los momios

FC Utrecht v Fortuna Sittard

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Final: FC Utrecht 2–0 Fortuna Sittard

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Utrecht (Local)

Predicción 63.60%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -5.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.48%63.52%63.68%65.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.471.481.5371.94%68.21%67.57%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fortuna Sittard (Visitante)

Predicción 16.79%5.96momio equitativo
EV +4.94%
Ventaja +0.790%
Kelly +0.940%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.23%16.75%16.81%18.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.535.506.2520.00%18.09%18.18%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.61%5.10momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.388%
Kelly -0.485%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.81%19.73%19.51%22.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.634.705.0026.67%21.62%21.28%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +4.94%E +0.790%K +0.940%G +0.046%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 10:00
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.98%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.05%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.98%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.05%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.43%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.84%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.51%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 10:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 10:00
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 10:00
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.69%E -6.82%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 12:30
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -0.100%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -0.100%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:10
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.46%EV -2.45%E -0.422%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.36%EV -3.12%E -0.631%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 08:16
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -3.29%E -0.571%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.45%EV -3.31%E -0.672%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:16
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 05:01
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.71%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.50%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -4.30%E -0.754%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:05
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.69%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 05:40
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:12
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 06:44
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:45
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 00:35
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.24%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 05:40
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:35
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:35
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 05:39
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 00:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-14 09:59
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 12:30
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.25%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -9.33%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.71%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:45
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.12%EV -11.60%E -8.34%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -9.33%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 08:19
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.53%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 05:40
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 62.23%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 62.23%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:45
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:45
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.06%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.07%EV -12.69%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.88%EV -16.65%E -3.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -14.37%E -2.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 05:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -26.45%E -7.05%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-05-17 08:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-17 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.6%2026-05-17 08:01
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-05-17 06:50