L’École des cotes

FC Utrecht v Fortuna Sittard

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Score final : FC Utrecht 2–0 Fortuna Sittard

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Utrecht (Local)

Prévision 63.60%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -5.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.48%63.52%63.68%65.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.471.481.5371.94%68.21%67.57%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.79%5.96cote équitable
EV +4.94%
Avantage +0.790%
Kelly +0.940%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.23%16.75%16.81%18.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.535.506.2520.00%18.09%18.18%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.61%5.10cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.485%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.81%19.73%19.51%22.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.634.705.0026.67%21.62%21.28%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +4.94%E +0.790%K +0.940%G +0.046%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 10:00
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.98%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.05%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.98%EV -2.70%E -1.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.05%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.43%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.84%EV +2.42%E +0.396%K +0.474%G +0.011%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.51%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 10:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 10:00
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 10:00
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.69%E -6.82%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV +0.739%E +0.123%K +0.148%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 12:30
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -0.100%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:10
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -0.100%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:10
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.46%EV -2.45%E -0.422%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.36%EV -3.12%E -0.631%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 08:16
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -3.29%E -0.571%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.45%EV -3.31%E -0.672%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 08:16
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 05:01
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -13.71%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -3.46%E -0.601%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.50%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -4.30%E -0.754%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:05
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.69%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 05:40
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:12
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:15
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:45
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.90%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -5.98%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.94%E -0.388%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 06:44
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:45
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.84%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 00:35
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.24%EV -5.24%E -3.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 05:40
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:35
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:35
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.88%E -3.97%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.87%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -5.86%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 05:39
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 00:59
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-14 09:59
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -7.66%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 12:30
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.25%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -9.33%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.71%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:45
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.12%EV -11.60%E -8.34%K -29.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -9.33%E -1.73%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 08:19
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.53%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 05:40
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 62.23%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 62.23%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -11.01%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.78%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:50
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:45
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.31%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.85%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:45
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.06%EV -9.06%E -6.33%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.07%EV -12.69%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.88%EV -16.65%E -3.92%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 07:45
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%EV -7.15%E -4.90%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -14.37%E -2.82%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -3.90%E -0.796%K -1.000%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.60%E -3.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:20
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -7.82%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 05:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.42%E -5.85%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.74%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.48%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -16.05%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.58%EV -26.45%E -7.05%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-05-17 08:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.89%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%0.7%2026-05-17 08:05
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40%1.1%2026-05-17 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.29%1.6%2026-05-17 08:01
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.62%1.9%2026-05-17 06:50