The School of Odds
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FC Twente Enschede v Willem II

2026-11-22 11:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 91.64%1.09fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -47.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.11%91.13%91.74%93.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.55%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Willem II (Visit)

Prediction 2.89%34.65fair odd
EV +44.28%
Edge +0.886%
Kelly +0.904%
Growth +0.400%

assuming max odds 50.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.92%3.02%2.87%6.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0028.3126.9550.008.33%3.53%3.71%2.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 5.47%18.28fair odd
EV +25.85%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.304%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.17%5.85%5.40%11.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.9014.8815.7523.0014.49%6.72%6.35%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 91.64%; Willem II (Visit): 2.89%; Draw: 5.47%. For Willem II (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 34.65. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 50.00, producing a positive expected value of +44.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.92%EV -6.52%E -6.40%K -326.23%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.92%EV +44.28%E +0.886%K +0.904%G +0.400%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +25.85%E +1.12%K +1.18%G +0.304%4.4%2026-11-08 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.96%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.51%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +18.31%E +0.447%K +0.458%G +0.084%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.68%EV -6.98%E -0.411%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 17:00
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.96%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.51%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.36%EV +18.31%E +0.447%K +0.458%G +0.084%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.68%EV -6.98%E -0.411%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.58%EV -4.69%E -4.51%K -117.29%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.35%EV +18.31%E +0.447%K +0.458%G +0.084%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.07%EV +3.96%E +0.209%K +0.220%G +0.009%3.9%2026-11-08 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.26%EV -6.52%E -6.40%K -326.23%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.74%EV -1.89%E -0.056%K -0.057%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.01%EV -15.19%E -0.980%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.65%EV -4.69%E -4.51%K -117.29%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 2.97%EV -10.55%E -0.340%K -0.352%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -39.81%E -3.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-08 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.49%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.51%G +0.000%27.90I 3.58%NM 3.44%EV -19.49%E -0.699%K -0.725%G +0.000%18.94I 5.28%NM 5.07%EV +3.64%E +0.192%K +0.203%G +0.007%4.1%2026-11-08 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.84%EV -2.86%E -2.70%K -47.65%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV -24.97%E -0.961%K -0.999%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.53%EV -31.60%E -2.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.82%EV -5.61%E -5.44%K -186.94%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.25%EV -36.52%E -1.66%K -1.74%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV +3.96%E +0.209%K +0.220%G +0.009%6.9%2026-11-08 17:00
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.64%EV -3.78%E -3.60%K -75.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV -39.40%E -1.88%K -1.97%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -12.45%E -0.778%K -0.830%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 17:00
picklebet_au🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.01%EV -4.69%E -4.51%K -117.29%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36%EV -39.40%E -1.88%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -34.34%E -2.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 86.15%EV -6.52%E -6.40%K -326.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.86%EV -56.72%E -3.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.99%EV -39.81%E -3.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-08 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 84.66%EV -7.44%E -7.37%K -744.10%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.33%EV -61.04%E -4.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.00%EV -48.02%E -5.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-08 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 81.11%EV -6.52%E -6.40%K -326.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 6.89%EV -65.37%E -5.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 11.99%EV -62.24%E -9.02%K -10.55%G +0.000%20.9%2026-11-08 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.02I 98.04%NM 84.07%14.99I 6.67%NM 5.72%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.21%16.6%2026-11-08 15:50

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