The School of Odds
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FC Twente Enschede v SC Telstar

2026-09-09 16:45 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 72.13%1.39fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -12.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.09%72.03%72.05%74.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.291.3381.97%78.25%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Telstar (Visit)

Prediction 10.97%9.11fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.182%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 9.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.38%11.07%10.92%13.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.108.509.2515.38%12.35%11.76%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.90%5.92fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.230%
Kelly +0.276%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.42%16.91%17.03%18.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.345.206.0021.28%18.72%19.23%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 72.13%; SC Telstar (Visit): 10.97%; Draw: 16.90%. For SC Telstar (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.11. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV -1.24%E -0.138%K -0.155%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +1.38%E +0.230%K +0.276%G +0.004%4.7%2026-08-30 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.95%E -5.39%K -23.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -1.24%E -0.138%K -0.155%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +1.38%E +0.230%K +0.276%G +0.004%5.3%2026-08-30 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.62%EV -9.12%E -7.23%K -35.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -6.73%E -0.792%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +1.38%E +0.230%K +0.276%G +0.004%7.8%2026-08-30 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -9.84%E -7.87%K -39.35%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV -3.99%E -0.456%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV +1.38%E +0.230%K +0.276%G +0.004%8.1%2026-08-30 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.77%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -3.99%E -0.456%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.84%E -0.495%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 12:40
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.19%EV -4.07%E -3.06%K -12.32%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.38%EV +1.50%E +0.162%K +0.182%G +0.003%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.43%EV -6.90%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -6.73%E -0.792%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.07%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.95%E -5.39%K -23.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.22%E -1.53%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.07%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -12.00%E -9.84%K -54.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.22%E -1.53%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.07%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 12:38
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.80%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -12.22%E -1.53%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.14%E -2.33%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.75%EV -9.12%E -7.23%K -35.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -25.93%E -3.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -13.83%E -2.71%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-30 12:40
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -6.73%E -0.792%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.52%E -3.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -6.73%E -0.792%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.52%E -3.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:20
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -6.73%E -0.792%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.52%E -3.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -6.73%E -0.792%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.52%E -3.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 69.85%EV -12.00%E -9.84%K -54.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.11%EV -28.68%E -4.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.04%EV -15.52%E -3.10%K -3.88%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-30 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.09%EV -9.84%E -7.87%K -39.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.29%EV -28.68%E -4.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.62%EV -17.21%E -3.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-30 12:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.92%EV -9.84%E -7.87%K -39.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.06%EV -20.45%E -2.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.02%EV -18.05%E -3.72%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 12:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.18%EV -9.12%E -7.23%K -35.06%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.28%EV -22.09%E -3.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.55%EV -20.59%E -4.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-30 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 68.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.57%17.1%2026-08-30 16:50