Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 76.39%; SC Telstar (Visitante): 9.56%; Empate: 14.05%. Para SC Telstar (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 10.46. 14 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 12.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +19.50%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -5.28%E -4.26%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.77%EV +19.50%E +1.56%K +1.70%G +0.330% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.80%EV -4.51%E -3.61%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +19.50%E +1.56%K +1.70%G +0.330% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.62%EV -19.91%E -3.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.80%EV -4.51%E -3.61%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +19.50%E +1.56%K +1.70%G +0.330% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.62%EV -19.91%E -3.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +14.72%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +5.38%E +0.718%K +0.828%G +0.045% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.37%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +14.72%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +5.38%E +0.718%K +0.828%G +0.045% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.11%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +14.72%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -19.21%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +5.16%E +0.469%K +0.516%G +0.027% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.38%EV -5.28%E -4.26%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.05%EV +1.33%E +0.126%K +0.139%G +0.002% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.57%EV -0.658%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.75%E -2.98%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.85%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 15:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.51%E -3.61%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.51%E -3.61%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 15:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.25%EV -7.57%E -6.26%K -36.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.90%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -5.28%E -4.26%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.21%EV -1.54%E -0.149%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.27%EV -6.56%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.44%EV -4.51%E -3.61%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.32%EV -2.01%E -0.196%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.24%EV -5.72%E -0.852%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.44%EV -4.51%E -3.61%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.32%EV -2.01%E -0.196%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.24%EV -5.72%E -0.852%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 15:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -5.28%E -4.26%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.00%EV -6.04%E -4.91%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.00%EV -6.04%E -4.91%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -1.64%E -0.235%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.62%EV -6.04%E -4.91%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.44%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -7.96%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:36 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.57%E -6.26%K -36.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.55%EV -6.04%E -4.91%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV -6.32%E -0.644%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV -4.45%E -0.655%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -3.75%E -2.98%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.38%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.38%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.38%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -9.86%E -8.36%K -54.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -9.86%E -8.36%K -54.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.45%EV -2.99%E -2.35%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.36%EV -11.57%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 13:21 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.24%EV -9.10%E -7.64%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.81%EV -11.57%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.88%EV -9.86%E -8.36%K -54.78%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.68%EV -11.57%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.44%EV -12.88%E -2.08%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.51%E -3.61%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.51%E -3.61%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.30%EV -7.57%E -6.26%K -36.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.61%EV -9.10%E -7.64%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.61%EV -9.10%E -7.64%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.61%EV -9.10%E -7.64%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.99%EV -9.10%E -7.64%K -47.88%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.38%EV -17.79%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.63%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.28%EV -6.04%E -4.91%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.75%EV -18.74%E -2.21%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.98%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 15:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.82%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -18.74%E -2.21%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.82%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -18.74%E -2.21%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.43%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -18.74%E -2.21%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 15:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.43%EV -8.33%E -6.94%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -18.74%E -2.21%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -8.67%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.67% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.62% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.62% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 0.9% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.38% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.38% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.85% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 15:36 |