Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.09
assuming max odds 2.22
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 32.65%; PSV Eindhoven (Visit): 43.76%; Draw: 23.59%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.97%EV -0.408%E -0.134%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.35%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68%EV +1.43%E +0.332%K +0.433%G +0.006% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -2.04%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.23%E -3.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.83%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -2.04%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.23%E -3.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.83%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 12:22 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 12:22 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.10%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -3.29%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.29%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.29%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -2.04%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.00%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.73%EV -3.76%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -1.06%E -0.350%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -1.06%E -0.350%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 10:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -1.06%E -0.350%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 10:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -1.06%E -0.350%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV +0.898%E +0.291%K +0.430%G +0.004% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.23%EV -7.23%E -3.41%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.74%EV -4.70%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.29%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 12:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -8.98%E -4.32%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -8.98%E -4.32%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -8.98%E -4.32%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -9.42%E -4.55%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -11.84%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 11:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.87%EV -6.36%E -2.97%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.83%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 11:57 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.67%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.65%EV -13.47%E -5.08%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.45%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.98%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.48%E -6.24%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.26%EV -11.61%E -5.75%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 12:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.37%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.51%EV -12.48%E -6.24%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.03%EV -7.59%E -2.68%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.49%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -9.89%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.33%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.30%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.37%EV -9.89%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.76%EV -11.18%E -4.11%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.47%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.41%EV -15.10%E -5.81%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.48%E -6.24%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -11.84%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -15.08%E -4.19%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 12:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96% | 0.1% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |