Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Twente Enschede v PSV Eindhoven

Início: 2026-09-20 12:30 UTC

Final: FC Twente Enschede 3–2 PSV Eindhoven

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Previsão 32.65%3.06odd justa
EV +0.898%
Vantagem +0.291%
Kelly +0.430%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.03%32.64%32.61%33.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.862.853.0938.46%34.95%35.09%32.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

PSV Eindhoven (Visitante)

Previsão 43.76%2.29odd justa
EV -2.86%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.35%43.77%43.81%45.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.122.2250.00%47.34%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.59%4.24odd justa
EV +1.43%
Vantagem +0.332%
Kelly +0.433%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.35%23.59%23.58%24.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.964.004.3027.78%25.23%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 32.65%; PSV Eindhoven (Visitante): 43.76%; Empate: 23.59%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.24. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.43%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.97%EV -0.408%E -0.134%K -0.199%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.35%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.68%EV +1.43%E +0.332%K +0.433%G +0.006%2.6%2026-09-20 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -2.04%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.23%E -3.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.83%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.96%EV -2.04%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.23%E -3.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.83%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 12:22
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 12:22
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -0.930%E -0.221%K -0.291%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 12:09
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.10%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -3.29%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 09:34
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.29%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 11:49
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.29%E -0.802%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -2.04%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.00%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.73%EV -3.76%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 12:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -1.06%E -0.350%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -1.06%E -0.350%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 10:29
BetUS🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -1.06%E -0.350%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 10:29
BetAnything🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -1.06%E -0.350%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 10:30
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV +0.898%E +0.291%K +0.430%G +0.004%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.23%EV -7.23%E -3.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.74%EV -4.70%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.29%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:34
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:29
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 12:10
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.78%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:03
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -8.98%E -4.32%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:50
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -8.98%E -4.32%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:50
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -8.98%E -4.32%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 10:24
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.72%EV -9.42%E -4.55%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 11:49
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 11:09
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 12:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -11.84%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 11:28
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.31%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.87%EV -6.36%E -2.97%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.83%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 12:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -3.67%E -1.25%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:57
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 12:15
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.67%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.73%E -5.26%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.65%EV -13.47%E -5.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.94%E -2.43%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.45%EV -2.86%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 12:05
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.98%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.48%E -6.24%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.26%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.26%EV -11.61%E -5.75%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 12:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.37%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.51%EV -12.48%E -6.24%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 12:04
Betsson🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.03%EV -7.59%E -2.68%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.49%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -9.89%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.33%EV -5.96%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.30%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.37%EV -9.89%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 12:24
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:05
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -8.57%E -3.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:04
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.20%E -3.71%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.76%EV -11.18%E -4.11%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.47%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 12:15
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.41%EV -15.10%E -5.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.48%E -6.24%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -11.84%E -4.38%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -15.08%E -4.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 12:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%0.1%2026-09-20 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-09-20 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-09-20 12:20
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-09-20 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-09-20 12:24