Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede v Groningen

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 11:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Prediction 63.47%1.58fair odd
EV -0.347%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.608%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.34%63.44%63.54%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.471.481.5776.92%68.08%67.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Groningen (Visit)

Prediction 16.31%6.13fair odd
EV +10.12%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.178%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.85%16.25%16.34%18.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.815.756.7520.00%17.20%17.39%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.21%4.95fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.458%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%20.31%20.13%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.494.504.8626.67%22.29%22.22%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 63.47%; Groningen (Visit): 16.31%; Draw: 20.21%. For Groningen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.43%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +10.12%E +1.50%K +1.76%G +0.178%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 11:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.23%E -6.46%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +10.12%E +1.50%K +1.76%G +0.178%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +6.04%E +0.929%K +1.10%G +0.066%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +6.04%E +0.929%K +1.10%G +0.066%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.64%EV -5.42%E -3.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 11:05
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 11:04
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 11:05
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 11:05
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 11:04
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.58%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV +1.96%E +0.314%K +0.374%G +0.007%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -3.99%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 10:59
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -7.96%E -5.49%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +1.96%E +0.314%K +0.374%G +0.007%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -9.23%E -6.46%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV +1.96%E +0.314%K +0.374%G +0.007%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -9.23%E -6.46%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -0.484%E -0.079%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -9.23%E -6.46%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -0.484%E -0.079%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 11:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 11:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 10:50
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -9.87%E -6.95%K -23.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 10:49
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -0.347%E -0.221%K -0.608%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -3.75%E -0.635%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV -10.26%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 11:05
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.76%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.43%EV -4.40%E -0.751%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.81%EV -1.77%E -0.364%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.24%EV -4.56%E -0.780%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.43%EV -6.01%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 11:05
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.24%EV -4.56%E -0.780%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.43%EV -6.01%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.38%E -0.927%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 10:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.38%E -0.927%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.23%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV -1.97%E -0.406%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 11:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.23%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV -1.97%E -0.406%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 11:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.45%EV -5.42%E -3.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 11:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 10:49
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 10:50
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.99%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.99%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 10:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 10:59
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -7.01%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 11:05
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 11:05
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 11:04
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 11:05
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 11:05
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -10.05%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 10:48
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -10.05%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 10:45
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -24.20%E -6.45%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-22 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 64.19%EV -17.48%E -13.45%K -58.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.45%EV -11.90%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.35%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-22 10:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.37%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -13.54%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 10:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.41%EV -13.04%E -9.52%K -35.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -13.54%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 11:04
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.40%EV -10.50%E -7.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-22 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-02-22 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-02-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-02-22 11:05
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-02-22 11:00
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-02-22 11:00