Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Twente Enschede v Groningen

Inicio: 2026-02-22 11:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Twente Enschede (Local)

Predicción 63.47%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.347%
Ventaja -0.221%
Kelly -0.608%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.34%63.44%63.54%65.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.471.481.5776.92%68.08%67.57%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Groningen (Visitante)

Predicción 16.31%6.13momio equitativo
EV +10.12%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.178%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.85%16.25%16.34%18.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.815.756.7520.00%17.20%17.39%14.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.21%4.95momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.364%
Kelly -0.458%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.41%20.31%20.13%22.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.494.504.8626.67%22.29%22.22%20.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 63.47%; Groningen (Visitante): 16.31%; Empate: 20.21%. Para Groningen (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.13. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.12%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.43%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +10.12%E +1.50%K +1.76%G +0.178%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-22 11:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.23%E -6.46%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +10.12%E +1.50%K +1.76%G +0.178%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +6.04%E +0.929%K +1.10%G +0.066%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV +6.04%E +0.929%K +1.10%G +0.066%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.64%EV -5.42%E -3.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 11:05
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.79%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 11:04
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 11:05
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 11:05
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV +4.41%E +0.689%K +0.817%G +0.036%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 11:04
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.58%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV +1.96%E +0.314%K +0.374%G +0.007%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -3.99%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 10:59
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -7.96%E -5.49%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +1.96%E +0.314%K +0.374%G +0.007%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -12.08%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.05%EV -9.23%E -6.46%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.65%EV +1.96%E +0.314%K +0.374%G +0.007%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -9.23%E -6.46%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -0.484%E -0.079%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -9.23%E -6.46%K -21.47%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -0.484%E -0.079%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -14.10%E -3.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 11:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 11:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 10:50
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -9.87%E -6.95%K -23.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 10:49
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.74%EV -0.347%E -0.221%K -0.608%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43%EV -3.75%E -0.635%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV -10.26%E -2.31%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 11:05
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.76%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.43%EV -4.40%E -0.751%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.81%EV -1.77%E -0.364%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.24%EV -4.56%E -0.780%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.43%EV -6.01%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 11:05
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.24%EV -4.56%E -0.780%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.43%EV -6.01%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.38%E -0.927%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 10:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -6.69%E -4.55%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.38%E -0.927%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.23%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV -1.97%E -0.406%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 11:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.23%EV -2.89%E -1.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV -1.97%E -0.406%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 11:05
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.45%EV -5.42%E -3.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 11:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 10:49
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 10:50
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.99%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.99%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 10:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.19%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 10:59
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -7.01%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 11:05
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 11:05
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 11:04
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -4.15%E -2.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -7.02%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 11:05
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 11:05
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.06%E -4.09%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:05
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -10.05%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 10:48
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -10.05%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-22 10:45
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -11.14%E -7.96%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -10.27%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -24.20%E -6.45%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-22 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 64.19%EV -17.48%E -13.45%K -58.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.45%EV -11.90%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.35%EV -17.13%E -4.18%K -5.53%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-22 10:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.37%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -13.54%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 10:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.41%EV -13.04%E -9.52%K -35.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -13.54%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -13.09%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 11:04
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -12.48%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -4.79%E -3.19%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -15.11%E -3.60%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.60%E -5.97%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.04%E -2.01%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.40%EV -10.50%E -7.45%K -25.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -11.07%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-22 10:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-02-22 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-02-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-02-22 11:05
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-02-22 11:00
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.46%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-02-22 11:00