Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 11.00
assuming max odds 6.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Twente Enschede (Local): 74.83%; FC Zwolle (Visit): 9.93%; Draw: 15.24%. For FC Zwolle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.07. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.99%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV +2.87%E +0.426%K +0.500%G +0.014% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.99%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV +2.87%E +0.426%K +0.500%G +0.014% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.99%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV +2.87%E +0.426%K +0.500%G +0.014% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.49%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.62%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -19.22%E -3.63%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.49%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.62%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -19.22%E -3.63%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.66%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.71I 9.34%NM 8.95%EV +6.32%E +0.590%K +0.651%G +0.041% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.39%EV +1.50%E +0.226%K +0.265%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +4.23%E +0.403%K +0.446%G +0.019% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +4.23%E +0.403%K +0.446%G +0.019% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 11:08 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV +4.23%E +0.403%K +0.446%G +0.019% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.32%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.45%EV +0.263%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +2.11%E +0.315%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.32%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.45%EV +0.263%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +2.11%E +0.315%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.32%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.45%EV +0.263%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +2.11%E +0.315%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.32%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.45%EV +0.263%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +2.11%E +0.315%K +0.371%G +0.008% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 08:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.32%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 12:07 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 12:13 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -16.18%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV -3.21%E -0.329%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 12:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.22%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -3.71%E -0.382%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -6.27%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.13%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.15%EV -7.03%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 12:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.44%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 12:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.63%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.08%EV -6.69%E -0.711%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.29%EV -5.51%E -0.888%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.85%EV -8.17%E -0.884%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -10.08%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 12:13 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.36%EV -10.95%E -9.20%K -57.63%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.69%EV -8.17%E -0.884%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -2.72%E -2.09%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -5.51%E -0.888%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -1.97%E -1.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -13.14%E -1.50%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.74%EV -1.97%E -1.50%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 8.72I 11.47%NM 11.08%EV -13.44%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.36I 15.72%NM 15.19%EV -3.07%E -0.483%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.84%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.35%EV -13.63%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.80%EV -13.13%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -2.72%E -2.09%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.62%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -15.62%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -16.18%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -20.58%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 12:13 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -20.58%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.11%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -23.07%E -2.98%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.38%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 12:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.81% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.81% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.81% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.81% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.94% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.57% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 12:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 12:05 |