默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Twente Enschede v FC Zwolle

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 12:30 UTC

最终结果: FC Twente Enschede 3–1 FC Zwolle

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Twente Enschede (主队)

预测 74.83%1.34公平赔率
EV -1.97%
优势 -1.50%
Kelly -6.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.31

博彩公司预测分布
72.51%74.72%74.83%76.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.241.251.3184.03%80.40%80.00%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Zwolle (客队)

预测 9.93%10.07公平赔率
EV +9.20%
优势 +0.836%
Kelly +0.920%
增长率 +0.085%

假设最高赔率为 11.00

博彩公司预测分布
8.62%9.93%9.96%11.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.759.529.5011.0012.90%10.51%10.53%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.24%6.56公平赔率
EV +2.87%
优势 +0.426%
Kelly +0.500%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 6.75

博彩公司预测分布
14.24%15.35%15.22%17.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.306.116.006.7518.87%16.38%16.67%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Twente Enschede (主队):74.83%;FC Zwolle (客队):9.93%;平局:15.24%。 对于“FC Zwolle (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.07。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为11.00,对应+9.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.99%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV +2.87%E +0.426%K +0.500%G +0.014%3.9%2026-08-16 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.99%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV +2.87%E +0.426%K +0.500%G +0.014%3.9%2026-08-16 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.99%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.26%EV +2.87%E +0.426%K +0.500%G +0.014%3.9%2026-08-16 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.49%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.62%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -19.22%E -3.63%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 11:55
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.49%EV -3.47%E -2.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.62%EV +9.20%E +0.836%K +0.920%G +0.085%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -19.22%E -3.63%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.66%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.71I 9.34%NM 8.95%EV +6.32%E +0.590%K +0.651%G +0.041%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.39%EV +1.50%E +0.226%K +0.265%G +0.004%4.4%2026-08-16 12:20
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +4.23%E +0.403%K +0.446%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.26%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +4.23%E +0.403%K +0.446%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:08
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV +4.23%E +0.403%K +0.446%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.32%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.45%EV +0.263%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +2.11%E +0.315%K +0.371%G +0.008%4.8%2026-08-16 08:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.32%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.45%EV +0.263%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +2.11%E +0.315%K +0.371%G +0.008%4.8%2026-08-16 08:19
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.32%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.45%EV +0.263%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +2.11%E +0.315%K +0.371%G +0.008%4.8%2026-08-16 08:19
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.32%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.45%EV +0.263%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +2.11%E +0.315%K +0.371%G +0.008%4.8%2026-08-16 08:19
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.32%EV -5.71%E -4.53%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:07
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 12:09
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.62%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 12:13
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:44
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -4.75%E -0.759%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -0.730%E -0.073%K -0.081%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -16.18%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 12:04
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV -3.21%E -0.329%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.22%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -3.71%E -0.382%K -0.426%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -6.27%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 12:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:09
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.13%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.15%EV -7.03%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 11:44
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:08
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.44%EV -7.96%E -6.47%K -34.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -5.69%E -0.599%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 12:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.63%EV -4.96%E -3.91%K -18.38%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.08%EV -6.69%E -0.711%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.29%EV -5.51%E -0.888%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 12:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.85%EV -8.17%E -0.884%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -10.08%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:13
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.36%EV -10.95%E -9.20%K -57.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.69%EV -8.17%E -0.884%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 12:14
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -2.72%E -2.09%K -9.06%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:44
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 12:14
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.936%E -0.144%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 12:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -5.51%E -0.888%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:24
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 12:10
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 11:44
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.61%EV -10.20%E -8.50%K -51.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -10.66%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 11:44
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -1.97%E -1.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -13.14%E -1.50%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 11:45
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.74%EV -1.97%E -1.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.72I 11.47%NM 11.08%EV -13.44%E -1.54%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 15.19%EV -3.07%E -0.483%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.84%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.35%EV -13.63%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.80%EV -13.13%E -2.30%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -2.72%E -2.09%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.62%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -6.46%E -5.17%K -25.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -15.62%E -1.84%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -16.18%E -2.94%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -7.21%E -5.81%K -30.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -20.58%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.56%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 12:13
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -20.58%E -2.57%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.37%E -2.15%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.11%EV -8.70%E -7.13%K -39.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.51%EV -23.07%E -2.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.38%EV -11.60%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 12:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.81%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.81%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-16 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.81%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-16 12:20
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.81%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.62%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-16 12:20
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.94%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.57%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48%1.5%2026-08-16 12:25
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%2.1%2026-08-16 12:05