La scuola delle quote

Excelsior v Go Ahead Eagles

Inizio: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Excelsior (Casa)

Previsione 39.80%2.51quota equa
EV -0.092%
Vantaggio -0.037%
Kelly -0.061%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.49%39.78%39.75%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.352.372.5148.78%42.63%42.19%39.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Go Ahead Eagles (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.96%3.03quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.371%
Kelly -0.556%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.74%32.95%33.02%34.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.812.803.0038.46%35.53%35.71%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.23%3.67quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -0.545%
Kelly -0.754%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.30%27.28%27.22%28.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.40%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.64%EV -0.092%E -0.037%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -6.72%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -2.50%E -0.700%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 18:54
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.29%E -0.519%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.51%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 18:24
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.29%E -0.519%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.51%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 18:24
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.29%E -0.519%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.51%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 18:24
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.11%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 18:24
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 18:24
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.07%EV -4.07%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 18:04
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -2.10%E -0.707%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -2.78%E -0.778%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 18:54
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -1.11%E -0.371%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 18:34
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -1.11%E -0.371%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 18:34
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 09:39
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:04
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:24
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:24
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:24
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.22%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 18:10
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -3.32%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 18:49
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -3.32%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 18:49
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 18:10
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:24
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:25
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:25
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 18:04
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 18:54
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 18:54
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.40%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 18:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.76%E -0.936%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 18:09
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.41%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 18:54
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -4.41%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:18
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:09
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:04
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 18:25
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:47
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:49
BetAnything2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:50
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -7.26%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 18:24
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -7.26%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 18:24
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.76%E -0.936%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 18:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.41%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -5.40%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 18:54
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.65%E -4.77%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 18:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 18:55
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 18:50
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.28%EV -11.64%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.34%E -3.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.85%EV -9.31%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -14.30%E -5.50%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-01 18:04
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -13.64%E -5.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-01 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -16.41%E -7.82%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.31%E -5.06%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-01 18:54
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -18.40%E -8.98%K -17.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -14.30%E -5.50%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-01 18:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-03-01 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-03-01 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-03-01 18:54
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-03-01 18:50
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.1%2026-03-01 18:49