La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Excelsior v Go Ahead Eagles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Excelsior (Local)
Predicción 39.80%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.092%
Ventaja -0.037%
Kelly -0.061%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.49%39.78%39.75%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.352.372.5148.78%42.63%42.19%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante)
Predicción 32.96%3.03momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.371%
Kelly -0.556%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.74%32.95%33.02%34.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.803.0038.46%35.53%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.545%
Kelly -0.754%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.30%27.28%27.22%28.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.40%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.64%EV -0.092%E -0.037%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -6.72%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -2.50%E -0.700%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.29%E -0.519%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.51%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.29%E -0.519%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.51%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -1.29%E -0.519%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.51%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.11%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -3.28%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.07%EV -4.07%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -2.10%E -0.707%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -2.78%E -0.778%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -1.11%E -0.371%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -1.11%E -0.371%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 09:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.22%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -1.96%E -0.545%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -3.32%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.10%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -3.32%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -5.27%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.40%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -5.66%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.76%E -0.936%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.41%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -4.41%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 18:18 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| Bovada | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:47 |
| BetUS | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| BetAnything | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.62%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.86%E -2.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -7.26%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -7.26%E -3.11%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.76%E -0.936%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.41%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.36%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.34%EV -5.40%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.65%E -4.77%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-01 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-01 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.44%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.28%EV -11.64%E -5.24%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.34%E -3.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.85%EV -9.31%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 18:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-01 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -14.30%E -5.50%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -12.43%E -5.65%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -13.64%E -5.21%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -16.41%E -7.82%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -13.31%E -5.06%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -18.40%E -8.98%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -14.30%E -5.50%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-01 18:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 18:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.1% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |