A Escola das Odds

Excelsior v FC Utrecht

Início: 2026-04-26 10:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Excelsior (Local)

Previsão 30.27%3.30odd justa
EV +1.39%
Vantagem +0.416%
Kelly +0.593%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.88%30.30%30.23%31.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.083.103.3535.71%32.45%32.26%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Utrecht (Visitante)

Previsão 42.92%2.33odd justa
EV -3.43%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.48%42.88%42.97%44.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.182.2550.00%46.52%45.87%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.81%3.73odd justa
EV -0.785%
Vantagem -0.212%
Kelly -0.291%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.82%26.81%26.80%28.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.463.503.7033.33%28.86%28.57%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV +1.39%E +0.416%K +0.593%G +0.008%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV -0.785%E -0.212%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 10:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV +1.39%E +0.416%K +0.593%G +0.008%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -2.13%E -0.582%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 10:49
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV +1.39%E +0.416%K +0.593%G +0.008%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -2.13%E -0.582%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -1.63%E -0.502%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -1.63%E -0.502%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -9.01%E -4.25%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:50
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.63%E -0.502%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:49
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.63%E -0.502%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:50
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.15%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 06:40
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.15%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.73%E -5.16%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:50
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.15%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.73%E -5.16%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:49
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 30.07%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.83%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.10%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:15
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:40
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:44
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.06%EV -5.15%E -2.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV -4.54%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 06:40
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:20
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.36%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:19
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -11.16%E -5.39%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -11.16%E -5.39%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 10:50
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -12.45%E -6.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:50
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -12.45%E -6.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:49
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -12.45%E -6.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:49
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.16%EV -5.57%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.96%EV -6.01%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 06:48
BetAnything3.12I 32.05%NM 30.16%EV -5.57%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.96%EV -6.01%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:24
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 15:19
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 07:00
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:10
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:19
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:19
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 12:35
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 07:24
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:20
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.56%EV -8.59%E -2.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -13.31%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:05
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:05
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:05
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:19
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:19
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:19
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:19
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 10:39
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 04:59
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 04:59
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 04:59
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 05:00
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 10:25
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.71%E -3.63%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 02:00
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -10.71%E -3.63%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 09:04
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:54
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:20
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.16%E -7.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.56%E -6.52%K -9.78%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-23 15:19
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -15.25%E -5.45%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-16 04:44
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.25%E -5.45%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.16%E -7.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 19:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-04-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%5.9%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%5.9%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%5.9%2026-04-23 13:29
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%7.2%2026-04-23 17:40