مدرسة الاحتمالات

Excelsior v FC Utrecht

البداية: 2026-04-26 10:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Excelsior (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.27%3.30السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.416%
Kelly +0.593%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.88%30.30%30.23%31.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.083.103.3535.71%32.45%32.26%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Utrecht (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.92%2.33السعر العادل
EV -3.43%
الأفضلية -1.53%
Kelly -2.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.48%42.88%42.97%44.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.152.182.2550.00%46.52%45.87%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.81%3.73السعر العادل
EV -0.785%
الأفضلية -0.212%
Kelly -0.291%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.82%26.81%26.80%28.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.463.503.7033.33%28.86%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV +1.39%E +0.416%K +0.593%G +0.008%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.64%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV -0.785%E -0.212%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 10:50
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV +1.39%E +0.416%K +0.593%G +0.008%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -2.13%E -0.582%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 10:49
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV +1.39%E +0.416%K +0.593%G +0.008%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -2.13%E -0.582%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -1.63%E -0.502%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.39%EV -8.15%E -3.81%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -1.63%E -0.502%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -9.01%E -4.25%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 10:50
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.63%E -0.502%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:49
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.63%E -0.502%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:50
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.15%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:49
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.15%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 06:40
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.15%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.73%E -5.16%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:50
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -3.15%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -10.73%E -5.16%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:49
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 30.07%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.83%EV -3.86%E -1.72%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.10%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:15
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:40
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -4.72%E -2.13%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:44
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.06%EV -5.15%E -2.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV -4.54%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 06:40
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:20
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.36%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.81%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:19
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -11.16%E -5.39%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -11.16%E -5.39%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 10:50
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -12.45%E -6.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:50
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -12.45%E -6.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:49
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -4.66%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -12.45%E -6.10%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 10:49
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.16%EV -5.57%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.96%EV -6.01%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 06:48
BetAnything3.12I 32.05%NM 30.16%EV -5.57%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.96%EV -6.01%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:24
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -3.43%E -1.53%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 15:19
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 07:00
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:10
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:19
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:19
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -6.44%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 12:35
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 07:24
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 10:20
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.56%EV -8.59%E -2.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.19%EV -13.31%E -6.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:05
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:05
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.47%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 13:05
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:19
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:19
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:19
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.15%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:19
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 10:39
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 04:59
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 04:59
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 04:59
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 05:00
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 10:25
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.71%E -3.63%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 02:00
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -10.71%E -3.63%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 09:04
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.23%E -4.22%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -12.02%E -5.86%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -7.49%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 19:54
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -5.58%E -2.54%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:20
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -12.83%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.16%E -7.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.56%E -6.52%K -9.78%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-23 15:19
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -15.25%E -5.45%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.73%E -3.59%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.83%E -2.60%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-16 04:44
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.25%E -5.45%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.16%E -7.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.51%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 19:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-04-24 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%5.9%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%5.9%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%5.9%2026-04-23 13:29
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%7.2%2026-04-23 17:40